Alianza Atletico 60%Draw 23%Comerciantes Unidos 17%Expected goals 1.86 – 0.87
60%
Betarazi pick
Alianza Atletico to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultAlianza Atletico to win ✓60% · @1.60
Double chanceAlianza Atletico or draw ✓83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.19
Alianza Atletico vs Comerciantes Unidos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Friday 18 September: Alianza Atletico v Comerciantes Unidos in the Primera División, played at Estadio Campeones del 36. In the table, Alianza Atletico are 7th, upper half, on 28 points after 16 matches; Comerciantes Unidos are 13th (lower half) with 16. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Alianza Atletico, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Atletico Grau, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Comerciantes Unidos, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sport Huancayo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Alianza Atletico, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Comerciantes Unidos.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Apr 2026) it ended Comerciantes Unidos 1–0 Alianza Atletico.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alianza Atletico 1.9 xG, Comerciantes Unidos 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza Atletico 60%, draw 23%, Comerciantes Unidos 17%.
Lower-risk option: Alianza Atletico or draw (83%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Alianza Atletico to win (60%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza Atletico 1–0 Comerciantes Unidos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alianza Atletico60%fair 1.65 · @1.60
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.80
Comerciantes Unidos17%fair 6.05 · @5.00
2.73Expected goals
1.86Alianza Atletico xG
0.87Comerciantes Unidos xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Alianza Atletico 1.9 – 0.9 Comerciantes Unidos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Alianza Atletico vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Our pick is Alianza Atletico to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Alianza Atletico vs Comerciantes Unidos?
On our numbers Alianza Atletico have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Comerciantes Unidos 17%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Atletico vs Comerciantes Unidos?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Atletico vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Our predicted score is Alianza Atletico 1–0 Comerciantes Unidos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Alianza Atletico vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Alianza Atletico vs Comerciantes Unidos (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones del 36.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
