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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

UCV Moquegua v Cienciano: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Peru · Estadio 25 de Noviembre

UCV Moquegua

LLLLL
0–2
FT

Cienciano

DLLWW
UCV Moquegua 31%Draw 23%Cienciano 46% Expected goals 1.23 – 1.57
58%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.74 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultCienciano to win ✓46% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.86

UCV Moquegua vs Cienciano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

UCV Moquegua welcome Cienciano to Estadio 25 de Noviembre for a Primera División fixture on Thursday 8 October (19:00 WAT). In the table, UCV Moquegua are 17th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 16 matches; Cienciano are 12th (lower half) with 17.

Current form

UCV Moquegua, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Juan Pablo II College, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Cienciano, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Club Deportivo Los Chankas, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Cienciano, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for UCV Moquegua.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Apr 2026) it ended Cienciano 2–1 UCV Moquegua.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give UCV Moquegua 1.2 xG, Cienciano 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – UCV Moquegua 31%, draw 23%, Cienciano 46%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: UCV Moquegua 1–1 Cienciano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

UCV Moquegua31%fair 3.22 · @3.20
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.20
Cienciano46%fair 2.17 · @2.15
2.80Expected goals
1.23UCV Moquegua xG
1.57Cienciano xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–07%
0–27%
2–17%

From our goals model: UCV Moquegua 1.2 – 1.6 Cienciano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCienciano to win ✓46%2.172.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.741.70
Draw no betCienciano (draw no bet) ✓60%1.67–
Asian handicapUCV Moquegua +1 (Asian handicap) ✗71%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.88–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreCienciano to score first ✓53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cienciano / FT Cienciano ✓27%3.71–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.86–

Recent results

UCV Moquegua – last 6

LLLLLW
20 Sep@ Juan Pablo II College0–4L
13 Sepvs Sporting Cristal1–2L
6 Sep@ Cusco0–2L
30 Augvs Alianza Atletico1–4L
27 Aug@ ADT0–2L
22 Aug@ Sport Huancayo2–0W
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Cienciano – last 6

DLLWWL
30 Sepvs Club Deportivo Los Chankas1–1D
23 Sep@ ADT1–2L
18 Sep@ Atletico Torque0–3L
11 Sepvs Atletico Torque2–0W
4 Sep@ FC Cajamarca5–2W
31 Augvs Cusco1–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Apr 2026Cienciano v UCV Moquegua2–1
UCV Moquegua vs Cienciano head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alianza Lima332094+3069
2Universitario3317106+2061
3FBC Melgar331698+1857
4Deportivo Garcilaso3316710+1555
5Sporting Cristal3315612+1551
6Cusco3316314-151
7Cienciano3315513+850
8Sport Huancayo3315513-150
9Alianza Atletico3314712+149
10Club Deportivo Los Chankas3313911-1248
11Sport Boys33121011+246
12Juan Pablo II College3311814-1141
13Comerciantes Unidos3381312-337
14Atletico Grau3310716-937
15ADT3371115-1232
16FC Cajamarca338718-1931
17UCV Moquegua337917-2130
18UTC Cajamarca335919-2019

More Primera División predictions

League hub
FT Atletico Grau0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas0 164%1.67X21%3.50216%4.80 1.8–0.7xG 1Atletico Grau to win 64%@1.67 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for UCV Moquegua vs Cienciano?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win UCV Moquegua vs Cienciano?

On our numbers UCV Moquegua have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cienciano 46%.

How many goals will there be in UCV Moquegua vs Cienciano?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for UCV Moquegua vs Cienciano?

Our predicted score is UCV Moquegua 1–1 Cienciano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is UCV Moquegua vs Cienciano?

UCV Moquegua vs Cienciano (Primera División) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 25 de Noviembre.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.