Cienciano vs UTC Cajamarca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
UTC Cajamarca travel to face Cienciano on Monday 19 October in the Primera División, with Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT. In the table, Cienciano are 12th, lower half, on 17 points after 16 matches; UTC Cajamarca are 18th (in the drop zone) with 6.
Current form
Cienciano, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over UCV Moquegua, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
UTC Cajamarca, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Sport Huancayo, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Cienciano, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.2 for UTC Cajamarca.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cienciano 2.2 xG, UTC Cajamarca 0.9 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cienciano 69%, draw 16%, UTC Cajamarca 15%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cienciano to win (69%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cienciano 2–0 UTC Cajamarca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cienciano69%fair 1.44 · @1.25
Draw16%fair 6.34 · @5.50
UTC Cajamarca15%fair 6.75 · @9.50
3.05Expected goals
2.19Cienciano xG
0.86UTC Cajamarca xG
58%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Cienciano 2.2 – 0.9 UTC Cajamarca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cienciano to win✓
69%
1.44
1.25
Double chance
Cienciano or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.75
Draw no bet
Cienciano (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Cienciano -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
First team to score
Cienciano to score first✓
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Cienciano ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cienciano / FT Cienciano✗
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.25
–
Recent results
Cienciano – last 6
WDLLWW
8 Oct
@ UCV Moquegua
2–0
W
30 Sep
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1–1
D
23 Sep
@ ADT
1–2
L
18 Sep
@ Atletico Torque
0–3
L
11 Sep
vs Atletico Torque
2–0
W
4 Sep
@ FC Cajamarca
5–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
UTC Cajamarca – last 6
LLLLDL
20 Sep
@ Sport Huancayo
2–3
L
11 Sep
vs Juan Pablo II College
1–2
L
4 Sep
@ Alianza Atletico
2–3
L
29 Aug
vs Universitario
2–4
L
25 Aug
@ Alianza Atletico
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Comerciantes Unidos
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cienciano and UTC Cajamarca.
What is the prediction for Cienciano vs UTC Cajamarca?
Our pick is Cienciano to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cienciano vs UTC Cajamarca?
On our numbers Cienciano have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 16% and UTC Cajamarca 15%.
How many goals will there be in Cienciano vs UTC Cajamarca?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cienciano vs UTC Cajamarca?
Our predicted score is Cienciano 2–0 UTC Cajamarca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Cienciano vs UTC Cajamarca?
Cienciano vs UTC Cajamarca (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
