Sporting Cristal 67%Draw 19%Comerciantes Unidos 15%Expected goals 2.08 – 0.85
67%
Betarazi pick
Sporting Cristal to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultSporting Cristal to win ✓67% · @1.25
Double chanceSporting Cristal or draw ✓85% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the Primera División brings Sporting Cristal against Comerciantes Unidos at Estadio Alberto Gallardo. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Sporting Cristal are 2nd, among the top four, on 32 points after 16 matches; Comerciantes Unidos are 13th (lower half) with 16. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sporting Cristal, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over ADT, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Comerciantes Unidos, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Juan Pablo II College, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sporting Cristal, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.8 for Comerciantes Unidos.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sporting Cristal 2.1 xG, Comerciantes Unidos 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting Cristal 67%, draw 19%, Comerciantes Unidos 15%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sporting Cristal to win (67%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting Cristal 2–0 Comerciantes Unidos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sporting Cristal67%fair 1.50 · @1.25
Draw19%fair 5.39 · @5.00
Comerciantes Unidos15%fair 6.69 · @9.00
2.93Expected goals
2.08Sporting Cristal xG
0.85Comerciantes Unidos xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sporting Cristal 2.1 – 0.8 Comerciantes Unidos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting Cristal to win✓
67%
1.50
1.25
Double chance
Sporting Cristal or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Sporting Cristal (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Sporting Cristal -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Sporting Cristal to score first✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Sporting Cristal ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting Cristal / FT Sporting Cristal✓
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
Sporting Cristal – last 6
WWWWWL
1 Oct
vs ADT
5–0
W
27 Sep
@ ADT
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Atletico Grau
3–1
W
13 Sep
@ UCV Moquegua
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
5–0
W
30 Aug
@ Sport Boys
0–1
L
2.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Comerciantes Unidos – last 6
DLLDLW
10 Oct
vs Juan Pablo II College
1–1
D
18 Sep
@ Alianza Atletico
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Sport Huancayo
0–1
L
6 Sep
@ Universitario
2–2
D
28 Aug
vs FC Cajamarca
2–3
L
22 Aug
@ UTC Cajamarca
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting Cristal and Comerciantes Unidos.
What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Our pick is Sporting Cristal to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos?
On our numbers Sporting Cristal have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Comerciantes Unidos 15%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Our predicted score is Sporting Cristal 2–0 Comerciantes Unidos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alberto Gallardo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
