Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.29Odds
1
Value bet: Cusco to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCusco to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceCusco or draw ✓84% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Cusco vs Sporting Cristal: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 24 October the Primera División brings Cusco against Sporting Cristal at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega. Kick-off: 21:15 WAT. In the table, Cusco are 10th, lower half, on 24 points after 16 matches; Sporting Cristal are 2nd (among the top four) with 32.
Current form
Cusco, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sport Huancayo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Sporting Cristal, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Comerciantes Unidos, at home. 3.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sporting Cristal, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.5 for Cusco.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cusco 2.1 xG, Sporting Cristal 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cusco 61%, draw 23%, Sporting Cristal 16%.
Lower-risk option: Cusco or draw (84%) at 1.29.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Cusco to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cusco or draw (84%, odds 1.29 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cusco 2–1 Sporting Cristal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cusco61%fair 1.65 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.30
Sporting Cristal16%fair 6.22 · @3.50
3.09Expected goals
2.08Cusco xG
1.01Sporting Cristal xG
59%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–010%
1–110%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Cusco 2.1 – 1.0 Sporting Cristal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cusco to win✓
61%
1.65
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Cusco or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.29 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.57
Draw no bet
Cusco (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Cusco -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Cusco to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Cusco ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cusco / FT Cusco✓
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Recent results
Cusco – last 6
LLWLWW
16 Oct
@ Sport Huancayo
1–2
L
12 Oct
vs Alianza Lima
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ FC Cajamarca
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs FBC Melgar
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs UCV Moquegua
2–0
W
31 Aug
@ Cienciano
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sporting Cristal – last 6
WWWWWW
17 Oct
vs Comerciantes Unidos
4–2
W
1 Oct
vs ADT
5–0
W
27 Sep
@ ADT
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Atletico Grau
3–1
W
13 Sep
@ UCV Moquegua
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
5–0
W
3.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cusco and Sporting Cristal.
What is the prediction for Cusco vs Sporting Cristal?
Our pick is Cusco or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Cusco vs Sporting Cristal?
On our numbers Cusco have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sporting Cristal 16%.
How many goals will there be in Cusco vs Sporting Cristal?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cusco vs Sporting Cristal?
Our predicted score is Cusco 2–1 Sporting Cristal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Cusco vs Sporting Cristal?
Cusco vs Sporting Cristal (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
