Sporting Cristal 39%Draw 23%Alianza Lima 38%Expected goals 1.43 – 1.39
62%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultSporting Cristal to win ✓39% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.80
Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 29 October the Primera División brings Sporting Cristal against Alianza Lima at Estadio Alberto Gallardo. Kick-off: 21:30 WAT. In the table, Sporting Cristal are 2nd, among the top four, on 32 points after 16 matches; Alianza Lima are 6th (upper half) with 29. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sporting Cristal, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Cusco, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Alianza Lima, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over UCV Moquegua, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sporting Cristal, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for Alianza Lima.
Head to head
When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended Alianza Lima 1–1 Sporting Cristal.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sporting Cristal 1.4 xG, Alianza Lima 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting Cristal 39%, draw 23%, Alianza Lima 38%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting Cristal 1–1 Alianza Lima. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sporting Cristal39%fair 2.54 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.10
Alianza Lima38%fair 2.67 · @2.75
2.82Expected goals
1.43Sporting Cristal xG
1.39Alianza Lima xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–18%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: Sporting Cristal 1.4 – 1.4 Alianza Lima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima?
On our numbers Sporting Cristal have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Alianza Lima 38%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima?
Our predicted score is Sporting Cristal 1–1 Alianza Lima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima?
Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima (Primera División) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alberto Gallardo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
