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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Universitario v Sport Boys: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Peru · Estadio Monumental U Marathon
2–2
FT
Universitario 68%Draw 21%Sport Boys 11% Expected goals 1.97 – 0.64
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultUniversitario to win ✗68% · @1.45
Double chanceUniversitario or draw ✓89% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.95

Universitario vs Sport Boys: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

02:30 WAT, Thursday 5 November: Universitario v Sport Boys in the Primera División, played at Estadio Monumental U Marathon. In the table, Universitario are 3rd, among the top four, on 32 points after 16 matches; Sport Boys are 8th (upper half) with 26.

Current form

Universitario, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Atletico Grau, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Sport Boys, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cusco, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Universitario, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Sport Boys.

Head to head

When they last met (12 May 2026) it ended Sport Boys 0–0 Universitario.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Universitario 2.0 xG, Sport Boys 0.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Universitario 68%, draw 21%, Sport Boys 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.10.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Universitario 2–0 Sport Boys. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Universitario68%fair 1.46 · @1.45
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.90
Sport Boys11%fair 9.52 · @7.50
2.61Expected goals
1.97Universitario xG
0.64Sport Boys xG
50%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–014%
3–09%
1–19%
2–19%
0–07%

From our goals model: Universitario 2.0 – 0.6 Sport Boys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUniversitario to win ✗68%1.461.45
Double chanceUniversitario or draw ✓89%1.121.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%1.992.10 ▲
Draw no betUniversitario (draw no bet)87%1.15–
Asian handicapUniversitario -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.361.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.971.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.391.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.161.11
First team to scoreUniversitario to score first ✗70%1.43–
Half-time resultUniversitario ahead at half-time ✗49%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT Universitario / FT Universitario ✗45%2.24–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.95–

Recent results

Universitario – last 6

WWWDLW
1 Nov@ Atletico Grau3–1W
25 Octvs Juan Pablo II College3–0W
18 Oct@ Alianza Atletico4–1W
11 Octvs FBC Melgar2–2D
20 Sep@ Deportivo Garcilaso0–4L
13 Sep@ Alianza Lima2–1W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Sport Boys – last 6

WWLLLW
1 Nov@ Cusco1–0W
25 Octvs FC Cajamarca4–2W
17 Oct@ Juan Pablo II College0–2L
11 Octvs Alianza Atletico1–3L
6 Oct@ Alianza Atletico0–3L
27 Sepvs Alianza Atletico3–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 May 2026Sport Boys v Universitario0–0
Universitario vs Sport Boys head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alianza Lima332094+3069
2Universitario3317106+2061
3FBC Melgar331698+1857
4Deportivo Garcilaso3316710+1555
5Sporting Cristal3315612+1551
6Cusco3316314-151
7Cienciano3315513+850
8Sport Huancayo3315513-150
9Alianza Atletico3314712+149
10Club Deportivo Los Chankas3313911-1248
11Sport Boys33121011+246
12Juan Pablo II College3311814-1141
13Comerciantes Unidos3381312-337
14Atletico Grau3310716-937
15ADT3371115-1232
16FC Cajamarca338718-1931
17UCV Moquegua337917-2130
18UTC Cajamarca335919-2019

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Universitario vs Sport Boys?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Universitario vs Sport Boys?

On our numbers Universitario have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sport Boys 11%.

How many goals will there be in Universitario vs Sport Boys?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Universitario vs Sport Boys?

Our predicted score is Universitario 2–0 Sport Boys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Universitario vs Sport Boys?

Universitario vs Sport Boys (Primera División) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental U Marathon.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.