Alianza Atletico 65%Draw 20%Juan Pablo II College 15%Expected goals 2.22 – 0.96
85%
Betarazi pick
Alianza Atletico or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Alianza Atletico to win @ 1.70 – our chance 65% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAlianza Atletico to win ✓65% · @1.70
Double chanceAlianza Atletico or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Alianza Atletico vs Juan Pablo II College: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 31 October the Primera División brings Alianza Atletico against Juan Pablo II College at Estadio Campeones del 36. Kick-off: 21:30 WAT. In the table, Alianza Atletico are 7th, upper half, on 28 points after 16 matches; Juan Pablo II College are 9th (upper half) with 25. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Alianza Atletico, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Deportivo Garcilaso, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Juan Pablo II College, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sport Huancayo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Juan Pablo II College, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Alianza Atletico.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alianza Atletico 2.2 xG, Juan Pablo II College 1.0 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza Atletico 65%, draw 20%, Juan Pablo II College 15%.
Lower-risk option: Alianza Atletico or draw (85%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Alianza Atletico to win @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Alianza Atletico or draw (85%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza Atletico 2–0 Juan Pablo II College. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alianza Atletico65%fair 1.53 · @1.70
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @3.60
Juan Pablo II College15%fair 6.73 · @4.40
3.18Expected goals
2.22Alianza Atletico xG
0.96Juan Pablo II College xG
59%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Alianza Atletico 2.2 – 1.0 Juan Pablo II College expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza Atletico to win✓
65%
1.53
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Alianza Atletico or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.67
Draw no bet
Alianza Atletico (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Alianza Atletico -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Alianza Atletico to score first✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Alianza Atletico ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza Atletico / FT Alianza Atletico✗
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.16
–
Recent results
Alianza Atletico – last 6
WLLWWL
28 Oct
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
3–2
W
24 Oct
@ Sport Huancayo
1–4
L
18 Oct
vs Universitario
1–4
L
11 Oct
@ Sport Boys
3–1
W
6 Oct
vs Sport Boys
3–0
W
27 Sep
@ Sport Boys
0–3
L
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Juan Pablo II College – last 6
WLWDWW
27 Oct
vs Sport Huancayo
2–0
W
25 Oct
@ Universitario
0–3
L
17 Oct
vs Sport Boys
2–0
W
10 Oct
@ Comerciantes Unidos
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs UCV Moquegua
4–0
W
11 Sep
@ UTC Cajamarca
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza Atletico and Juan Pablo II College.
What is the prediction for Alianza Atletico vs Juan Pablo II College?
Our pick is Alianza Atletico or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Alianza Atletico vs Juan Pablo II College?
On our numbers Alianza Atletico have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Juan Pablo II College 15%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Atletico vs Juan Pablo II College?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Atletico vs Juan Pablo II College?
Our predicted score is Alianza Atletico 2–0 Juan Pablo II College, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Alianza Atletico vs Juan Pablo II College?
Alianza Atletico vs Juan Pablo II College (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones del 36.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.