Alianza Lima 69%Draw 20%Cienciano 11%Expected goals 2.11 – 0.74
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultAlianza Lima to win ✓69% · @1.42
Double chanceAlianza Lima or draw ✓89% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9% · fair 11.04
Alianza Lima vs Cienciano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:00 WAT, Wednesday 4 November: Alianza Lima v Cienciano in the Primera División, played at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva. In the table, Alianza Lima are 6th, upper half, on 29 points after 16 matches; Cienciano are 12th (lower half) with 17. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Alianza Lima, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Sporting Cristal, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Cienciano, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Atletico Grau, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (16 May 2026) it ended Cienciano 0–1 Alianza Lima.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alianza Lima 2.1 xG, Cienciano 0.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza Lima 69%, draw 20%, Cienciano 11%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza Lima 2–0 Cienciano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alianza Lima69%fair 1.46 · @1.42
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @5.00
Cienciano11%fair 8.77 · @6.00
2.85Expected goals
2.11Alianza Lima xG
0.74Cienciano xG
49%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Alianza Lima 2.1 – 0.7 Cienciano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Alianza Lima vs Cienciano?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Alianza Lima vs Cienciano?
On our numbers Alianza Lima have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Cienciano 11%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Lima vs Cienciano?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Lima vs Cienciano?
Our predicted score is Alianza Lima 2–0 Cienciano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Alianza Lima vs Cienciano?
Alianza Lima vs Cienciano (Primera División) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
