Comerciantes Unidos v ADT Prediction & Expected Goals (3 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultComerciantes Unidos to win ✗42% · @2.15

Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.36

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.67

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.60

Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

ADT travel to face Comerciantes Unidos on Tuesday 3 November in the Primera División, with Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, Comerciantes Unidos are 13th, lower half, on 16 points after 16 matches; ADT are 16th (in the drop zone) with 12.

Current form

Comerciantes Unidos, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FBC Melgar, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

ADT, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over UCV Moquegua, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended ADT 2–0 Comerciantes Unidos.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Comerciantes Unidos 1.4 xG, ADT 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Comerciantes Unidos 42%, draw 23%, ADT 35%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: ADT to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Comerciantes Unidos 1–1 ADT. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Comerciantes Unidos42%fair 2.41 · @2.15

Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.20

ADT35%fair 2.82 · @3.40

2.67Expected goals

1.40Comerciantes Unidos xG

1.27ADT xG

57%Both score

50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–010%

0–19%

2–19%

1–28%

0–07%

From our goals model: Comerciantes Unidos 1.4 – 1.3 ADT expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Comerciantes Unidos to win ✗	42%	2.41	2.15
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	77%	1.30	1.36
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	57%	1.76	1.67
Draw no bet	Comerciantes Unidos (draw no bet)	54%	1.85	–
Asian handicap	ADT +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	76%	1.31	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	75%	1.34	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	50%	2.00	1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	72%	1.40	1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	86%	1.16	1.11
First team to score	Comerciantes Unidos to score first ✗	49%	2.05	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	43%	2.35	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Comerciantes Unidos / FT Comerciantes Unidos ✗	23%	4.28	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.60	–

Comerciantes Unidos – last 6

DWLDLL

30 Oct	@ FBC Melgar	1–1	D
25 Oct	vs Cienciano	3–1	W
17 Oct	@ Sporting Cristal	2–4	L
10 Oct	vs Juan Pablo II College	1–1	D
18 Sep	@ Alianza Atletico	1–2	L
12 Sep	vs Sport Huancayo	0–1	L

1.3Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

83%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

ADT – last 6

WDLDLL

28 Oct	vs UCV Moquegua	2–0	W
23 Oct	@ Atletico Grau	1–1	D
16 Oct	@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas	1–2	L
10 Oct	vs FC Cajamarca	0–0	D
1 Oct	@ Sporting Cristal	0–5	L
27 Sep	vs Sporting Cristal	0–1	L

0.7Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Primera División table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	33	20	9	4	+30	69
2	Universitario	33	17	10	6	+20	61
3	FBC Melgar	33	16	9	8	+18	57
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	33	16	7	10	+15	55
5	Sporting Cristal	33	15	6	12	+15	51
6	Cusco	33	16	3	14	-1	51
7	Cienciano	33	15	5	13	+8	50
8	Sport Huancayo	33	15	5	13	-1	50
9	Alianza Atletico	33	14	7	12	+1	49
10	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	33	13	9	11	-12	48
11	Sport Boys	33	12	10	11	+2	46
12	Juan Pablo II College	33	11	8	14	-11	41
13	Comerciantes Unidos	33	8	13	12	-3	37
14	Atletico Grau	33	10	7	16	-9	37
15	ADT	33	7	11	15	-12	32
16	FC Cajamarca	33	8	7	18	-19	31
17	UCV Moquegua	33	7	9	17	-21	30
18	UTC Cajamarca	33	5	9	19	-20	19

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT?

On our numbers Comerciantes Unidos have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and ADT 35%.

How many goals will there be in Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT?

Our predicted score is Comerciantes Unidos 1–1 ADT, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT?

Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT (Primera División) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Comerciantes Unidos v ADT: numbers & prediction