Value bet: Alianza Lima to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAlianza Lima to win ✗61% · @1.75
Double chanceAlianza Lima or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alianza Lima travel to face Club Deportivo Los Chankas on Sunday 8 November in the Primera División, with Estadio Municipal Los Chankas the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Club Deportivo Los Chankas are 15th, lower half, on 14 points after 16 matches; Alianza Lima are 6th (upper half) with 29. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Club Deportivo Los Chankas, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with UCV Moquegua, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Alianza Lima, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cienciano, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Alianza Lima, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Club Deportivo Los Chankas.
Head to head
When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Alianza Lima 3–0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0.9 xG, Alianza Lima 1.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Club Deportivo Los Chankas 17%, draw 22%, Alianza Lima 61%.
Lower-risk option: Alianza Lima or draw (83%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Alianza Lima to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0–2 Alianza Lima. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Club Deportivo Los Chankas17%fair 5.74 · @4.33
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.75
Alianza Lima61%fair 1.64 · @1.75
2.70Expected goals
0.86Club Deportivo Los Chankas xG
1.84Alianza Lima xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%
From our goals model: Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0.9 – 1.8 Alianza Lima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima?
On our numbers Club Deportivo Los Chankas have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Alianza Lima 61%.
How many goals will there be in Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima?
Our predicted score is Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0–2 Alianza Lima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima?
Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Los Chankas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
