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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bogota FC v Union Magdalena: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Colombia · Estadio Metropolitano de Techo
1–0
FT
Bogota FC 26%Draw 29%Union Magdalena 46% Expected goals 0.92 – 1.20
80%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultUnion Magdalena to win ✗46% · @1.95
Double chanceUnion Magdalena or draw ✗74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.54

Bogota FC vs Union Magdalena: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Union Magdalena travel to face Bogota FC on Saturday 25 July in the Primera B, with Estadio Metropolitano de Techo the venue – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT. In the table, Bogota FC are 10th, in the drop zone, on 18 points after 15 matches; Union Magdalena are 3rd (among the top four) with 4. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Bogota FC, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Deportivo Pasto, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Union Magdalena, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Bogota FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Union Magdalena, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Bogota FC.

Head to head

When they last met (21 May 2026) it ended Union Magdalena 0–0 Bogota FC. The last 2 head-to-heads: Bogota FC 0 wins, Union Magdalena 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 1.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bogota FC 0.9 xG, Union Magdalena 1.2 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bogota FC 26%, draw 29%, Union Magdalena 46%.
  • Lower-risk option: Union Magdalena or draw (74%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bogota FC 0–1 Union Magdalena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bogota FC26%fair 3.87 · @3.65
Draw29%fair 3.50 · @3.10
Union Magdalena46%fair 2.19 · @1.95
2.13Expected goals
0.92Bogota FC xG
1.20Union Magdalena xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%

From our goals model: Bogota FC 0.9 – 1.2 Union Magdalena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Bogota FCUnion Magdalena
Attack vs Primera B average-19%+10%
Goals conceded vs average-10%-9%
Our expected goals here0.850.96

Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUnion Magdalena to win ✗46%2.191.95
Double chanceUnion Magdalena or draw ✗74%1.351.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.901.85
Draw no betUnion Magdalena (draw no bet) ✗64%1.57–
Asian handicapBogota FC +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗65%1.541.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.651.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.251.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
First team to scoreUnion Magdalena to score first ✗50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT Union Magdalena / FT Union Magdalena ✗24%4.11–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.54–

Recent results

Bogota FC – last 6

WDLDLD
22 Jul@ Deportivo Pasto1–0W
21 May@ Union Magdalena0–0D
18 Mayvs Real Cartagena1–2L
13 Mayvs Barranquilla1–1D
3 May@ Real Cartagena0–2L
27 Aprvs Union Magdalena1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Union Magdalena – last 6

DDWLWD
21 Mayvs Bogota FC0–0D
17 May@ Barranquilla1–1D
12 Mayvs Real Cartagena3–0W
9 May@ Real Cartagena1–2L
4 Mayvs Barranquilla2–0W
27 Apr@ Bogota FC1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 May 2026Union Magdalena v Bogota FC0–0
27 Apr 2026Bogota FC v Union Magdalena1–1
Bogota FC vs Union Magdalena head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Envigado4219149+2171
2Quindio3920109+1370
3Real Cartagena41171410+1765
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC39131412+653
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca33101211+142
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

More Primera B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bogota FC vs Union Magdalena?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Bogota FC vs Union Magdalena?

On our numbers Bogota FC have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Union Magdalena 46%.

How many goals will there be in Bogota FC vs Union Magdalena?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bogota FC vs Union Magdalena?

Our predicted score is Bogota FC 0–1 Union Magdalena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Bogota FC vs Union Magdalena?

Bogota FC vs Union Magdalena (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.