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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Leones FC v Quindio: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Colombia · Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui
1–1
FT

Quindio

WLLLL
Leones FC 26%Draw 28%Quindio 46% Expected goals 0.80 – 1.25
74%
Betarazi pick

Quindio or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultQuindio to win ✗46% · @2.15
Double chanceQuindio or draw ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.24

Leones FC vs Quindio: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

23:30 WAT, Monday 3 August: Leones FC v Quindio in the Primera B, played at Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui. In the table, Leones FC are 16th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 15 matches; Quindio are 1st (leading the league) with 6.

Current form

Leones FC, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Tigres FC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Quindio, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Deportes Tolima, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Leones FC 0.8 xG, Quindio 1.3 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Leones FC 26%, draw 28%, Quindio 46%.
  • Lower-risk option: Quindio or draw (74%) at 1.28.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Quindio or draw (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leones FC 0–1 Quindio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Leones FC26%fair 3.89 · @3.40
Draw28%fair 3.52 · @2.90
Quindio46%fair 2.18 · @2.15
2.06Expected goals
0.80Leones FC xG
1.25Quindio xG
49%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–116%
1–113%
0–013%
1–010%
0–210%
1–28%

From our goals model: Leones FC 0.8 – 1.3 Quindio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Leones FCQuindio
Attack vs Primera B average-22%+6%
Goals conceded vs average+31%-12%
Our expected goals here0.801.35

Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultQuindio to win ✗46%2.182.15
Double chanceQuindio or draw ✓74%1.351.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.971.60
Draw no betQuindio (draw no bet)64%1.56–
Asian handicapLeones FC +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓61%1.641.53
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓65%1.531.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.221.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreQuindio to score first ✓53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗49%2.05–
Half-time / full-timeHT Quindio / FT Quindio ✗27%3.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16%6.24–

Recent results

Leones FC – last 6

WDWLLL
25 Jul@ Tigres FC1–0W
30 Mayvs Independiente Medellin1–1D
12 Mayvs Orsomarso2–0W
8 May@ Fortaleza FC1–4L
1 Apr@ Patriotas0–1L
25 Mar@ Barranquilla0–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Quindio – last 6

WLLLLW
29 Julvs Deportes Tolima2–1W
24 Julvs Popayan0–1L
22 Jul@ Deportes Tolima1–2L
18 May@ Envigado0–1L
15 Mayvs Internacional Palmira0–1L
5 Mayvs Tigres FC1–0W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Leones FC and Quindio.

Leones FC vs Quindio head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Envigado4219149+2171
2Quindio3920109+1370
3Real Cartagena41171410+1765
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC39131412+653
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca33101211+142
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

More Primera B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leones FC vs Quindio?

Our pick is Quindio or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Leones FC vs Quindio?

On our numbers Leones FC have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Quindio 46%.

How many goals will there be in Leones FC vs Quindio?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Leones FC vs Quindio?

Our predicted score is Leones FC 0–1 Quindio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Leones FC vs Quindio?

Leones FC vs Quindio (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 3 August 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.