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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Real Soacha v Real Cartagena: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Colombia · Estadio Municipal de Mosquera
1–1
FT
Real Soacha 36%Draw 28%Real Cartagena 36% Expected goals 1.22 – 1.15
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultReal Cartagena to win ✗36% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.30

Real Soacha vs Real Cartagena: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 2 August the Primera B brings Real Soacha against Real Cartagena at Estadio Municipal de Mosquera. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT. In the table, Real Soacha are 4th, among the top four, on 1 points after 3 matches; Real Cartagena are 3rd (among the top four) with 4. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Real Soacha, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Envigado, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Real Cartagena, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with America de Cali, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Real Soacha 1.2 xG, Real Cartagena 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Real Soacha 36%, draw 28%, Real Cartagena 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Soacha 1–1 Real Cartagena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Real Soacha36%fair 2.80 · @2.75
Draw28%fair 3.53 · @2.95
Real Cartagena36%fair 2.78 · @2.55
2.37Expected goals
1.22Real Soacha xG
1.15Real Cartagena xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: Real Soacha 1.2 – 1.1 Real Cartagena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Real SoachaReal Cartagena
Attack vs Primera B average-2%+40%
Goals conceded vs average-23%+9%
Our expected goals here1.241.05

Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Cartagena to win ✗36%2.782.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72%1.391.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.841.85
Draw no betReal Cartagena (draw no bet)50%1.99–
Asian handicapReal Cartagena +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.491.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.731.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.281.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreReal Soacha to score first ✓47%2.14–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Soacha / FT Real Soacha ✗22%4.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%13.30–

Recent results

Real Soacha – last 6

LDLWWD
27 Jul@ Envigado0–1L
26 Mayvs Águilas Doradas2–2D
17 May@ Deportivo Pereira0–1L
13 Mayvs Ind. Yumbo2–0W
7 May@ Jaguares2–1W
1 Apr@ Bogota FC2–2D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Real Cartagena – last 6

DWLDLW
30 Julvs America de Cali1–1D
26 Julvs Real Santander5–1W
22 Jul@ America de Cali1–2L
29 May@ Envigado1–1D
26 Mayvs Envigado2–3L
22 Mayvs Barranquilla2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Real Soacha and Real Cartagena.

Real Soacha vs Real Cartagena head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Envigado4219149+2171
2Quindio3920109+1370
3Real Cartagena41171410+1765
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC39131412+653
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca33101211+142
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

More Primera B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Soacha vs Real Cartagena?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Real Soacha vs Real Cartagena?

On our numbers Real Soacha have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Real Cartagena 36%.

How many goals will there be in Real Soacha vs Real Cartagena?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Soacha vs Real Cartagena?

Our predicted score is Real Soacha 1–1 Real Cartagena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Real Soacha vs Real Cartagena?

Real Soacha vs Real Cartagena (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Mosquera.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.