Orsomarso 59%Draw 27%Tigres FC 14%Expected goals 1.43 – 0.55
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
1
Value bet: Orsomarso to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOrsomarso to win ✗59% · @1.85
Double chanceOrsomarso or draw ✗86% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.06
Orsomarso vs Tigres FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 10 September the Primera B brings Orsomarso against Tigres FC at Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, Orsomarso are 13th, in the drop zone, on 17 points after 15 matches; Tigres FC are 2nd (among the top four) with 5. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Orsomarso, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Real Cartagena, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Tigres FC, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Patriotas, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Orsomarso 1.4 xG, Tigres FC 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Orsomarso 59%, draw 27%, Tigres FC 14%.
Lower-risk option: Orsomarso or draw (86%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Orsomarso to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orsomarso 1–0 Tigres FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Orsomarso59%fair 1.70 · @1.85
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.00
Tigres FC14%fair 6.97 · @4.33
1.98Expected goals
1.43Orsomarso xG
0.55Tigres FC xG
48%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
2–014%
0–014%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: Orsomarso 1.4 – 0.6 Tigres FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Orsomarso to win✗
59%
1.70
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Orsomarso or draw✗
86%
1.17
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.55
Draw no bet
Orsomarso (draw no bet)✗
80%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Tigres FC +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Orsomarso to score first✗
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Orsomarso / FT Orsomarso✗
35%
2.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
5.06
–
Recent results
Orsomarso – last 6
LWDDWD
5 Sep
vs Real Cartagena
0–1
L
24 Aug
vs Real Cundinamarca
2–0
W
20 Aug
@ Patriotas
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Union Magdalena
0–0
D
26 Jul
vs Barranquilla
1–0
W
20 May
@ Fortaleza FC
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Tigres FC – last 6
LWWWDL
7 Sep
@ Patriotas
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Real Cartagena
3–0
W
24 Aug
vs Union Magdalena
1–0
W
19 Aug
vs Envigado
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Popayan
0–0
D
29 Jul
vs Atletico Nacional
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orsomarso and Tigres FC.
What is the prediction for Orsomarso vs Tigres FC?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Orsomarso vs Tigres FC?
On our numbers Orsomarso have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Tigres FC 14%.
How many goals will there be in Orsomarso vs Tigres FC?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orsomarso vs Tigres FC?
Our predicted score is Orsomarso 1–0 Tigres FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Orsomarso vs Tigres FC?
Orsomarso vs Tigres FC (Primera B) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
