Popayan 41%Draw 24%Bogota FC 35%Expected goals 1.11 – 0.98
64%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Bogota FC to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPopayan to win ✗41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.37
Popayan vs Bogota FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bogota FC travel to face Popayan on Tuesday 25 August in the Primera B – the ball rolls at 21:30 WAT. In the table, Popayan are 2nd, among the top four, on 7 points after 4 matches; Bogota FC are 10th (in the drop zone) with 18.
Current form
Popayan, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Real Soacha, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Bogota FC, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Real Cartagena, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Popayan, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Bogota FC.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Bogota FC 2–1 Popayan.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Popayan 1.1 xG, Bogota FC 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Popayan 41%, draw 24%, Bogota FC 35%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Bogota FC to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Popayan 1–0 Bogota FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Popayan41%fair 2.42 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.00
Bogota FC35%fair 2.89 · @3.10
2.09Expected goals
1.11Popayan xG
0.98Bogota FC xG
52%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Popayan 1.1 – 1.0 Bogota FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Popayan vs Bogota FC?
On our numbers Popayan have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bogota FC 35%.
How many goals will there be in Popayan vs Bogota FC?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Popayan vs Bogota FC?
Our predicted score is Popayan 1–0 Bogota FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Popayan vs Bogota FC?
Popayan vs Bogota FC (Primera B) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
