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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Barranquilla v Popayan: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Colombia · Estadio Romelio Martinez
2–1
FT

Popayan

LLDWW
Barranquilla 43%Draw 23%Popayan 34% Expected goals 1.28 – 1.11
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: Popayan to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultBarranquilla to win ✓43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.03

Barranquilla vs Popayan: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

23:30 WAT, Tuesday 1 September: Barranquilla v Popayan in the Primera B, played at Estadio Romelio Martinez. In the table, Barranquilla are 15th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 15 matches; Popayan are 2nd (among the top four) with 7.

Current form

Barranquilla, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Internacional Palmira, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Popayan, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Bogota FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Popayan, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Barranquilla.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Feb 2026) it ended Popayan 0–2 Barranquilla.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Barranquilla 1.3 xG, Popayan 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Barranquilla 43%, draw 23%, Popayan 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.90.
  • Price worth noting: Popayan to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barranquilla 1–1 Popayan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Barranquilla43%fair 2.35 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.10
Popayan34%fair 2.91 · @3.30
2.38Expected goals
1.28Barranquilla xG
1.11Popayan xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Barranquilla 1.3 – 1.1 Popayan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBarranquilla to win ✓43%2.352.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.871.90
Draw no betBarranquilla (draw no bet) ✓55%1.81–
Asian handicapPopayan +1 (Asian handicap)77%1.30–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.481.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.741.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.281.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreBarranquilla to score first49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Barranquilla / FT Barranquilla ✗23%4.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8%12.03–

Recent results

Barranquilla – last 6

LDDDLD
25 Aug@ Internacional Palmira0–1L
20 Aug@ Real Santander2–2D
2 Augvs Depor FC2–2D
29 Julvs Junior3–3D
26 Jul@ Orsomarso0–1L
23 Jul@ Junior2–2D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Popayan – last 6

LLDWWW
25 Augvs Bogota FC1–2L
6 Aug@ Real Soacha1–3L
1 Augvs Tigres FC0–0D
24 Jul@ Quindio1–0W
21 May@ Bucaramanga3–2W
12 May@ Real Santander3–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Feb 2026Popayan v Barranquilla0–2
Barranquilla vs Popayan head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Envigado4219149+2171
2Quindio3920109+1370
3Real Cartagena41171410+1765
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC39131412+653
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca33101211+142
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Barranquilla vs Popayan?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Barranquilla vs Popayan?

On our numbers Barranquilla have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Popayan 34%.

How many goals will there be in Barranquilla vs Popayan?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Barranquilla vs Popayan?

Our predicted score is Barranquilla 1–1 Popayan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Barranquilla vs Popayan?

Barranquilla vs Popayan (Primera B) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Romelio Martinez.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.