Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEnvigado to win ✗61% · @1.62
Double chanceEnvigado or draw ✓85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.12
Envigado vs Orsomarso: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Envigado welcome Orsomarso to Estadio Polideportivo Sur for a Primera B fixture on Thursday 1 October (21:30 WAT). In the table, Envigado are 1st, leading the league, on 7 points after 4 matches; Orsomarso are 13th (in the drop zone) with 17.
Current form
Envigado, last 5: WDDDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Depor FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Orsomarso, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Ind. Yumbo, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Envigado 1.5 xG, Orsomarso 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Envigado 61%, draw 24%, Orsomarso 15%.
Lower-risk option: Envigado or draw (85%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Envigado to win (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Envigado 1–0 Orsomarso. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Envigado61%fair 1.64 · @1.62
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.40
Orsomarso15%fair 6.68 · @4.80
2.11Expected goals
1.52Envigado xG
0.59Orsomarso xG
50%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Envigado 1.5 – 0.6 Orsomarso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Envigado to win✗
61%
1.64
1.62
Double chance
Envigado or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Envigado (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Envigado -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Envigado to score first✗
63%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Envigado / FT Envigado✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.12
–
Recent results
Envigado – last 6
WDDDLL
27 Sep
vs Depor FC
3–0
W
22 Sep
@ Real Cartagena
0–0
D
12 Sep
vs Leones FC
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Popayan
2–2
D
1 Sep
vs Union Magdalena
0–1
L
24 Aug
@ Quindio
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Orsomarso – last 6
LDLLLW
28 Sep
@ Ind. Yumbo
3–4
L
22 Sep
@ Real Santander
0–0
D
14 Sep
vs Depor FC
0–2
L
10 Sep
vs Tigres FC
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Real Cartagena
0–1
L
24 Aug
vs Real Cundinamarca
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Envigado and Orsomarso.
Our pick is Envigado to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Envigado vs Orsomarso?
On our numbers Envigado have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Orsomarso 15%.
How many goals will there be in Envigado vs Orsomarso?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Envigado vs Orsomarso?
Our predicted score is Envigado 1–0 Orsomarso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Envigado vs Orsomarso?
Envigado vs Orsomarso (Primera B) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Polideportivo Sur.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
