Union Magdalena 58%Draw 25%Quindio 17%Expected goals 1.49 – 0.66
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Union Magdalena to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUnion Magdalena to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceUnion Magdalena or draw ✗83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.74
Union Magdalena vs Quindio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 29 August the Primera B brings Union Magdalena against Quindio at Estadio Sierra Nevada. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, Union Magdalena are 3rd, among the top four, on 4 points after 4 matches; Quindio are 1st (leading the league) with 6. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Union Magdalena, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Tigres FC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Quindio, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Envigado, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Quindio, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Union Magdalena.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union Magdalena 1.5 xG, Quindio 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union Magdalena 58%, draw 25%, Quindio 17%.
Lower-risk option: Union Magdalena or draw (83%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Union Magdalena to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Magdalena 2–0 Quindio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union Magdalena58%fair 1.72 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.10
Quindio17%fair 5.86 · @4.10
2.15Expected goals
1.49Union Magdalena xG
0.66Quindio xG
49%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–013%
0–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Union Magdalena 1.5 – 0.7 Quindio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Magdalena to win✗
58%
1.72
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Union Magdalena or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.65
Draw no bet
Union Magdalena (draw no bet)✗
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Quindio +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Union Magdalena to score first✗
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Magdalena / FT Union Magdalena✗
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.74
–
Recent results
Union Magdalena – last 6
LLDLDD
24 Aug
@ Tigres FC
0–1
L
6 Aug
@ Santa Fe
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Orsomarso
0–0
D
25 Jul
@ Bogota FC
0–1
L
21 May
vs Bogota FC
0–0
D
17 May
@ Barranquilla
1–1
D
0.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Quindio – last 6
WDDWLL
24 Aug
vs Envigado
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Internacional Palmira
1–1
D
3 Aug
@ Leones FC
1–1
D
29 Jul
vs Deportes Tolima
2–1
W
24 Jul
vs Popayan
0–1
L
22 Jul
@ Deportes Tolima
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Magdalena and Quindio.
What is the prediction for Union Magdalena vs Quindio?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Union Magdalena vs Quindio?
On our numbers Union Magdalena have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Quindio 17%.
How many goals will there be in Union Magdalena vs Quindio?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Magdalena vs Quindio?
Our predicted score is Union Magdalena 2–0 Quindio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Union Magdalena vs Quindio?
Union Magdalena vs Quindio (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Sierra Nevada.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
