Value bet: Leones FC to win @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLeones FC to win ✗59% · @1.80
Double chanceLeones FC or draw ✗82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.74
Leones FC vs Depor FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Depor FC travel to face Leones FC on Friday 4 September in the Primera B, with Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui the venue – the ball rolls at 21:30 WAT. In the table, Leones FC are 16th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 15 matches; Depor FC are 11th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Leones FC, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ind. Yumbo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Depor FC, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Bogota FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Mar 2026) it ended Depor FC 0–0 Leones FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leones FC 1.6 xG, Depor FC 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leones FC 59%, draw 23%, Depor FC 18%.
Lower-risk option: Leones FC or draw (82%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Leones FC to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leones FC 1–0 Depor FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leones FC59%fair 1.69 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.35
Depor FC18%fair 5.48 · @4.10
2.41Expected goals
1.64Leones FC xG
0.77Depor FC xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Leones FC 1.6 – 0.8 Depor FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Leones FC vs Depor FC?
On our numbers Leones FC have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Depor FC 18%.
How many goals will there be in Leones FC vs Depor FC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leones FC vs Depor FC?
Our predicted score is Leones FC 1–0 Depor FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Leones FC vs Depor FC?
Leones FC vs Depor FC (Primera B) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
