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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Popayan v Real Santander: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Colombia

Popayan

DLLLD
2–0
FT
Popayan 40%Draw 23%Real Santander 37% Expected goals 1.26 – 1.18
57%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.75 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultPopayan to win ✓40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.29

Popayan vs Real Santander: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Popayan welcome Real Santander for a Primera B fixture on Sunday 13 September (21:30 WAT). In the table, Popayan are 2nd, among the top four, on 7 points after 4 matches; Real Santander are 9th (in the drop zone) with 20. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Popayan, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Envigado, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Real Santander, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Quindio, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Real Santander, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Popayan.

Head to head

When they last met (12 May 2026) it ended Real Santander 0–3 Popayan. The last 2 head-to-heads: Popayan 1 win, Real Santander 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Popayan 1.3 xG, Real Santander 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Popayan 40%, draw 23%, Real Santander 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Popayan 1–1 Real Santander. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Popayan40%fair 2.49 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.00
Real Santander37%fair 2.72 · @2.80
2.44Expected goals
1.26Popayan xG
1.18Real Santander xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: Popayan 1.3 – 1.2 Real Santander expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPopayan to win ✓40%2.492.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.751.70
Draw no betPopayan (draw no bet) ✓52%1.91–
Asian handicapReal Santander +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.79–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scorePopayan to score first ✓47%2.13–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Popayan / FT Popayan ✓22%4.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.29–

Recent results

Popayan – last 6

DLLLDW
6 Sepvs Envigado2–2D
1 Sep@ Barranquilla1–2L
25 Augvs Bogota FC1–2L
6 Aug@ Real Soacha1–3L
1 Augvs Tigres FC0–0D
24 Jul@ Quindio1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Real Santander – last 6

DWWDDD
5 Sep@ Quindio0–0D
29 Augvs Internacional Palmira3–1W
24 Augvs Ind. Yumbo1–0W
20 Augvs Barranquilla2–2D
6 Aug@ Depor FC2–2D
31 Julvs Patriotas2–2D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 May 2026Real Santander v Popayan0–3
10 Mar 2026Real Santander v Popayan1–1
Popayan vs Real Santander head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Envigado4219149+2171
2Quindio3920109+1370
3Real Cartagena41171410+1765
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC39131412+653
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca33101211+142
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Popayan vs Real Santander?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Popayan vs Real Santander?

On our numbers Popayan have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Real Santander 37%.

How many goals will there be in Popayan vs Real Santander?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Popayan vs Real Santander?

Our predicted score is Popayan 1–1 Real Santander, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Popayan vs Real Santander?

Popayan vs Real Santander (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.