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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Orsomarso v Depor FC: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Colombia · Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata
0–2
FT
Orsomarso 61%Draw 25%Depor FC 14% Expected goals 1.55 – 0.59
61%
Betarazi pick

Orsomarso to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultOrsomarso to win ✗61% · @1.70
Double chanceOrsomarso or draw ✗86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.99

Orsomarso vs Depor FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

23:45 WAT, Monday 14 September: Orsomarso v Depor FC in the Primera B, played at Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata. In the table, Orsomarso are 13th, lower half, on 17 points after 15 matches; Depor FC are 11th (lower half) with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Orsomarso, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Tigres FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Depor FC, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Internacional Palmira, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Depor FC, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Orsomarso.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Mar 2026) it ended Depor FC 1–1 Orsomarso.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Orsomarso 1.5 xG, Depor FC 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Orsomarso 61%, draw 25%, Depor FC 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: Orsomarso or draw (86%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Orsomarso to win (61%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orsomarso 1–0 Depor FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Orsomarso61%fair 1.65 · @1.70
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.10
Depor FC14%fair 7.18 · @4.40
2.14Expected goals
1.55Orsomarso xG
0.59Depor FC xG
52%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
3–07%

From our goals model: Orsomarso 1.5 – 0.6 Depor FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOrsomarso to win ✗61%1.651.70
Double chanceOrsomarso or draw ✗86%1.161.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.921.95
Draw no betOrsomarso (draw no bet) ✗81%1.23–
Asian handicapOrsomarso -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
First team to scoreOrsomarso to score first ✗64%1.57–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Orsomarso / FT Orsomarso ✗37%2.70–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.99–

Recent results

Orsomarso – last 6

LLWDDW
10 Sepvs Tigres FC0–2L
5 Sepvs Real Cartagena0–1L
24 Augvs Real Cundinamarca2–0W
20 Aug@ Patriotas1–1D
1 Aug@ Union Magdalena0–0D
26 Julvs Barranquilla1–0W
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Depor FC – last 6

WWWLDD
9 Sep@ Internacional Palmira1–0W
4 Sep@ Leones FC3–0W
29 Augvs Bogota FC2–1W
24 Aug@ Patriotas0–2L
6 Augvs Real Santander2–2D
2 Aug@ Barranquilla2–2D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Mar 2026Depor FC v Orsomarso1–1
Orsomarso vs Depor FC head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Envigado4219149+2171
2Quindio3920109+1370
3Real Cartagena41171410+1765
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC39131412+653
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca33101211+142
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

More Primera B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Orsomarso vs Depor FC?

Our pick is Orsomarso to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Orsomarso vs Depor FC?

On our numbers Orsomarso have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Depor FC 14%.

How many goals will there be in Orsomarso vs Depor FC?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Orsomarso vs Depor FC?

Our predicted score is Orsomarso 1–0 Depor FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Orsomarso vs Depor FC?

Orsomarso vs Depor FC (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 23:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.