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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bogota FC v Barranquilla: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Colombia · Estadio Metropolitano de Techo
2–1
FT
Bogota FC 63%Draw 21%Barranquilla 16% Expected goals 1.58 – 0.61
84%
Betarazi pick

Bogota FC or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Bogota FC to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBogota FC to win ✓63% · @1.80
Double chanceBogota FC or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.72

Bogota FC vs Barranquilla: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Barranquilla travel to face Bogota FC on Monday 21 September in the Primera B, with Estadio Metropolitano de Techo the venue – the ball rolls at 21:30 WAT. In the table, Bogota FC are 10th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Barranquilla are 15th (in the drop zone) with 14.

Current form

Bogota FC, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Tigres FC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Barranquilla, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Ind. Yumbo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Barranquilla, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Bogota FC.

Head to head

When they last met (13 May 2026) it ended Bogota FC 1–1 Barranquilla. The last 2 head-to-heads: Bogota FC 0 wins, Barranquilla 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bogota FC 1.6 xG, Barranquilla 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bogota FC 63%, draw 21%, Barranquilla 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: Bogota FC or draw (84%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Bogota FC to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Bogota FC or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bogota FC 1–0 Barranquilla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bogota FC63%fair 1.59 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.10
Barranquilla16%fair 6.17 · @3.90
2.19Expected goals
1.58Bogota FC xG
0.61Barranquilla xG
52%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
3–07%

From our goals model: Bogota FC 1.6 – 0.6 Barranquilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBogota FC to win ✓63%1.591.80 ▲
Double chanceBogota FC or draw ✓84%1.191.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.931.80
Draw no betBogota FC (draw no bet) ✓79%1.26–
Asian handicapBogota FC -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗63%1.60–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreBogota FC to score first64%1.56–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bogota FC / FT Bogota FC ✗37%2.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.72–

Recent results

Bogota FC – last 6

DLLWLL
14 Sep@ Tigres FC0–0D
4 Sepvs Ind. Yumbo0–2L
29 Aug@ Depor FC1–2L
25 Aug@ Popayan2–1W
20 Aug@ Real Cartagena0–2L
6 Augvs Leones FC0–1L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Barranquilla – last 6

LLWWLD
15 Sepvs Ind. Yumbo0–2L
10 Sep@ Patriotas1–3L
5 Sep@ Union Magdalena2–1W
1 Sepvs Popayan2–1W
25 Aug@ Internacional Palmira0–1L
20 Aug@ Real Santander2–2D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 May 2026Bogota FC v Barranquilla1–1
16 Mar 2026Barranquilla v Bogota FC1–1
Bogota FC vs Barranquilla head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Envigado4219149+2171
2Quindio3920109+1370
3Real Cartagena41171410+1765
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC39131412+653
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca33101211+142
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

More Primera B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bogota FC vs Barranquilla?

Our pick is Bogota FC or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Bogota FC vs Barranquilla?

On our numbers Bogota FC have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Barranquilla 16%.

How many goals will there be in Bogota FC vs Barranquilla?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bogota FC vs Barranquilla?

Our predicted score is Bogota FC 1–0 Barranquilla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Bogota FC vs Barranquilla?

Bogota FC vs Barranquilla (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.