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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bogota FC v Envigado: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Colombia · Estadio Metropolitano de Techo
3–3
FT
Bogota FC 35%Draw 26%Envigado 39% Expected goals 0.96 – 1.04
52%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.93 · bookmaker 2.05 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
2.05Odds

Picks by market

ResultEnvigado to win ✗39% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.26

Bogota FC vs Envigado: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

23:00 WAT, Monday 5 October: Bogota FC v Envigado in the Primera B, played at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo. In the table, Bogota FC are 10th, in the drop zone, on 18 points after 15 matches; Envigado are 1st (leading the league) with 7.

Current form

Bogota FC, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Quindio, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Envigado, last 5: DWDDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Orsomarso, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (25 Mar 2026) it ended Envigado 1–2 Bogota FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bogota FC 1.0 xG, Envigado 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bogota FC 35%, draw 26%, Envigado 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.05.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.93, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bogota FC 1–1 Envigado. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bogota FC35%fair 2.86 · @2.62
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @2.62
Envigado39%fair 2.57 · @2.70
2.00Expected goals
0.96Bogota FC xG
1.04Envigado xG
52%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%

From our goals model: Bogota FC 1.0 – 1.0 Envigado expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEnvigado to win ✗39%2.572.70 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74%1.351.40
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.932.05 ▲
Draw no betEnvigado (draw no bet)53%1.90–
Asian handicapBogota FC +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓59%1.68–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68%1.48–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗86%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗95%1.06–
First team to scoreEnvigado to score first ✓45%2.23–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗50%2.00–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗22%4.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7%14.26–

Recent results

Bogota FC – last 6

LWDLLW
29 Sep@ Quindio0–1L
21 Sepvs Barranquilla2–1W
14 Sep@ Tigres FC0–0D
4 Sepvs Ind. Yumbo0–2L
29 Aug@ Depor FC1–2L
25 Aug@ Popayan2–1W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Envigado – last 6

DWDDDL
1 Octvs Orsomarso0–0D
27 Sepvs Depor FC3–0W
22 Sep@ Real Cartagena0–0D
12 Sepvs Leones FC1–1D
6 Sep@ Popayan2–2D
1 Sepvs Union Magdalena0–1L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 Mar 2026Envigado v Bogota FC1–2
Bogota FC vs Envigado head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Envigado4219149+2171
2Quindio3920109+1370
3Real Cartagena41171410+1765
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC39131412+653
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca33101211+142
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bogota FC vs Envigado?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.

Who will win Bogota FC vs Envigado?

On our numbers Bogota FC have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Envigado 39%.

How many goals will there be in Bogota FC vs Envigado?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bogota FC vs Envigado?

Our predicted score is Bogota FC 1–1 Envigado, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Bogota FC vs Envigado?

Bogota FC vs Envigado (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.