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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Real Cartagena v Popayan: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Colombia

Real Cartagena

DDLWL
2–3
FT

Popayan

WWWDL
Real Cartagena 66%Draw 17%Popayan 17% Expected goals 1.85 – 0.73
66%
Betarazi pick

Real Cartagena to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultReal Cartagena to win ✗66% · @1.36
Double chanceReal Cartagena or draw ✗83% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.55

Real Cartagena vs Popayan: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 4 October the Primera B brings Real Cartagena against Popayan. Kick-off: 02:20 WAT. In the table, Real Cartagena are 3rd, among the top four, on 4 points after 3 matches; Popayan are 2nd (among the top four) with 7. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Real Cartagena, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Union Magdalena, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Popayan, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Patriotas, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Mar 2026) it ended Popayan 1–1 Real Cartagena.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Real Cartagena 1.8 xG, Popayan 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Real Cartagena 66%, draw 17%, Popayan 17%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Real Cartagena to win (66%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Cartagena 1–0 Popayan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Real Cartagena66%fair 1.51 · @1.36
Draw17%fair 5.74 · @4.33
Popayan17%fair 6.05 · @6.00
2.58Expected goals
1.85Real Cartagena xG
0.73Popayan xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Real Cartagena 1.8 – 0.7 Popayan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Cartagena to win ✗66%1.511.36
Double chanceReal Cartagena or draw ✗83%1.201.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.881.91
Draw no betReal Cartagena (draw no bet) ✗80%1.25–
Asian handicapReal Cartagena -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.91–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.35–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗88%1.14–
First team to scoreReal Cartagena to score first ✗66%1.51–
Half-time resultReal Cartagena ahead at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Cartagena / FT Real Cartagena ✗40%2.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.55–

Recent results

Real Cartagena – last 6

DDLWLW
30 Sep@ Union Magdalena1–1D
22 Sepvs Envigado0–0D
13 Sep@ Internacional Palmira1–2L
5 Sep@ Orsomarso1–0W
29 Augvs Tigres FC0–3L
24 Aug@ Leones FC6–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Popayan – last 6

WWWDLL
26 Sepvs Patriotas4–1W
19 Sep@ Leones FC2–1W
13 Sepvs Real Santander2–0W
6 Sepvs Envigado2–2D
1 Sep@ Barranquilla1–2L
25 Augvs Bogota FC1–2L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Mar 2026Popayan v Real Cartagena1–1
Real Cartagena vs Popayan head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Envigado4219149+2171
2Quindio3920109+1370
3Real Cartagena41171410+1765
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC39131412+653
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca33101211+142
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

More Primera B predictions

League hub
FT Tigres FC1 Internacional Palmira0 135%2.75X26%2.62238%2.62 1.0–1.0xG NGNot both teams to score 52%@1.62 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Cartagena vs Popayan?

Our pick is Real Cartagena to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Real Cartagena vs Popayan?

On our numbers Real Cartagena have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Popayan 17%.

How many goals will there be in Real Cartagena vs Popayan?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Cartagena vs Popayan?

Our predicted score is Real Cartagena 1–0 Popayan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Real Cartagena vs Popayan?

Real Cartagena vs Popayan (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 02:20 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.