Value bet: Quindio to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultOrsomarso to win ✗38% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.64
Orsomarso vs Quindio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Quindio travel to face Orsomarso on Tuesday 6 October in the Primera B, with Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata the venue – the ball rolls at 01:30 WAT. In the table, Orsomarso are 13th, in the drop zone, on 17 points after 15 matches; Quindio are 1st (leading the league) with 6.
Current form
Orsomarso, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Envigado, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Quindio, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Bogota FC, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Quindio, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Orsomarso.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Mar 2026) it ended Quindio 2–2 Orsomarso.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Orsomarso 0.9 xG, Quindio 0.9 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Orsomarso 38%, draw 25%, Quindio 37%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Quindio to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (50%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orsomarso 0–0 Quindio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Orsomarso38%fair 2.62 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @2.80
Quindio37%fair 2.68 · @2.90
1.79Expected goals
0.90Orsomarso xG
0.89Quindio xG
50%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–017%
1–015%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Orsomarso 0.9 – 0.9 Quindio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Orsomarso vs Quindio?
On our numbers Orsomarso have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Quindio 37%.
How many goals will there be in Orsomarso vs Quindio?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orsomarso vs Quindio?
Our predicted score is Orsomarso 0–0 Quindio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Orsomarso vs Quindio?
Orsomarso vs Quindio (Primera B) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
