Real Santander 21%Draw 21%Union Magdalena 59%Expected goals 0.77 – 1.58
59%
Betarazi pick
Union Magdalena to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Picks by market
ResultUnion Magdalena to win ✓59% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.91
Real Santander vs Union Magdalena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Union Magdalena travel to face Real Santander on Saturday 3 October in the Primera B, with Estadio Villa Concha the venue – the ball rolls at 21:30 WAT. In the table, Real Santander are 9th, in the drop zone, on 20 points after 15 matches; Union Magdalena are 3rd (among the top four) with 4. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Real Santander, last 5: DDLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tigres FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Union Magdalena, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Real Cartagena, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Mar 2026) it ended Union Magdalena 2–0 Real Santander.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Santander 0.8 xG, Union Magdalena 1.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Santander 21%, draw 21%, Union Magdalena 59%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Union Magdalena to win (59%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.70, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Santander 0–1 Union Magdalena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Santander21%fair 4.86 · @3.40
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.25
Union Magdalena59%fair 1.70 · @1.91
2.35Expected goals
0.77Real Santander xG
1.58Union Magdalena xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–212%
1–112%
0–010%
1–29%
1–07%
From our goals model: Real Santander 0.8 – 1.6 Union Magdalena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Real Santander vs Union Magdalena?
Our pick is Union Magdalena to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Real Santander vs Union Magdalena?
On our numbers Real Santander have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Union Magdalena 59%.
How many goals will there be in Real Santander vs Union Magdalena?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Santander vs Union Magdalena?
Our predicted score is Real Santander 0–1 Union Magdalena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Real Santander vs Union Magdalena?
Real Santander vs Union Magdalena (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Villa Concha.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
