Quindio vs Real Cartagena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 16 October the Primera B brings Quindio against Real Cartagena at Estadio Centenario. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, Quindio are 1st, leading the league, on 6 points after 3 matches; Real Cartagena are 3rd (among the top four) with 4. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Quindio, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Barranquilla, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Real Cartagena, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Depor FC, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Apr 2026) it ended Real Cartagena 2–1 Quindio.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Quindio 1.1 xG, Real Cartagena 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Quindio 39%, draw 23%, Real Cartagena 38%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Quindio 1–1 Real Cartagena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Quindio39%fair 2.59 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @2.90
Real Cartagena38%fair 2.63 · @2.75
2.28Expected goals
1.15Quindio xG
1.13Real Cartagena xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–010%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Quindio 1.1 – 1.1 Real Cartagena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Quindio vs Real Cartagena?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Quindio vs Real Cartagena?
On our numbers Quindio have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Real Cartagena 38%.
How many goals will there be in Quindio vs Real Cartagena?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Quindio vs Real Cartagena?
Our predicted score is Quindio 1–1 Real Cartagena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Quindio vs Real Cartagena?
Quindio vs Real Cartagena (Primera B) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.