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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Quindio v Real Cartagena: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Colombia · Estadio Centenario

Quindio

LWWLL
1–1
FT
Quindio 39%Draw 23%Real Cartagena 38% Expected goals 1.15 – 1.13
53%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.89 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultQuindio to win ✗39% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.13

Quindio vs Real Cartagena: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 16 October the Primera B brings Quindio against Real Cartagena at Estadio Centenario. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, Quindio are 1st, leading the league, on 6 points after 3 matches; Real Cartagena are 3rd (among the top four) with 4. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Quindio, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Barranquilla, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Real Cartagena, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Depor FC, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Apr 2026) it ended Real Cartagena 2–1 Quindio.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Quindio 1.1 xG, Real Cartagena 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Quindio 39%, draw 23%, Real Cartagena 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Quindio 1–1 Real Cartagena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Quindio39%fair 2.59 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @2.90
Real Cartagena38%fair 2.63 · @2.75
2.28Expected goals
1.15Quindio xG
1.13Real Cartagena xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–010%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: Quindio 1.1 – 1.1 Real Cartagena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultQuindio to win ✗39%2.592.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.311.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.891.85
Draw no betQuindio (draw no bet)50%1.98–
Asian handicapReal Cartagena +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.50–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreQuindio to score first45%2.22–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Quindio / FT Quindio ✗20%4.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%13.13–

Recent results

Quindio – last 6

LWWLLD
11 Oct@ Barranquilla1–4L
6 Oct@ Orsomarso1–0W
29 Sepvs Bogota FC1–0W
21 Sep@ Real Cundinamarca1–3L
14 Sepvs Patriotas1–2L
9 Sep@ Ind. Yumbo0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Real Cartagena – last 6

DLDDLW
8 Oct@ Depor FC2–2D
4 Octvs Popayan2–3L
30 Sep@ Union Magdalena1–1D
22 Sepvs Envigado0–0D
13 Sep@ Internacional Palmira1–2L
5 Sep@ Orsomarso1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Apr 2026Real Cartagena v Quindio2–1
Quindio vs Real Cartagena head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Envigado4219149+2171
2Quindio3920109+1370
3Real Cartagena41171410+1765
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC39131412+653
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca33101211+142
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

More Primera B predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Quindio vs Real Cartagena?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Quindio vs Real Cartagena?

On our numbers Quindio have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Real Cartagena 38%.

How many goals will there be in Quindio vs Real Cartagena?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Quindio vs Real Cartagena?

Our predicted score is Quindio 1–1 Real Cartagena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Quindio vs Real Cartagena?

Quindio vs Real Cartagena (Primera B) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.