Chico 15%Draw 23%Atletico Nacional 62%Expected goals 0.79 – 1.85
62%
Betarazi pick
Atletico Nacional to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultAtletico Nacional to win ✓62% · @1.57
Double chanceAtletico Nacional or draw ✓85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.36
Chico vs Atletico Nacional: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the Primera A brings Chico against Atletico Nacional at Estadio La Independencia. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, Chico are 15th, lower half, on 19 points after 18 matches; Atletico Nacional are 1st (leading the league) with 39. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Chico, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cucuta, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Atletico Nacional, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Independiente Medellin, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chico 0.8 xG, Atletico Nacional 1.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chico 15%, draw 23%, Atletico Nacional 62%.
Lower-risk option: Atletico Nacional or draw (85%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Atletico Nacional to win (62%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chico 0–1 Atletico Nacional. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chico15%fair 6.56 · @5.50
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.75
Atletico Nacional62%fair 1.61 · @1.57
2.64Expected goals
0.79Chico xG
1.85Atletico Nacional xG
52%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Chico 0.8 – 1.8 Atletico Nacional expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Nacional to win✓
62%
1.61
1.57
Double chance
Atletico Nacional or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.91
Draw no bet
Atletico Nacional (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Atletico Nacional -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Atletico Nacional to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Atletico Nacional ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Nacional / FT Atletico Nacional✓
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.36
–
Recent results
Chico – last 6
LDWLLW
12 Oct
vs Cucuta
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ Deportes Tolima
0–0
D
26 Sep
vs Deportivo Pasto
3–0
W
19 Sep
@ Millonarios
0–3
L
16 Sep
vs Alianza Valledupar
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Independiente Medellin
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Atletico Nacional – last 6
WDWDDL
15 Oct
vs Independiente Medellin
3–2
W
9 Oct
vs Deportes Tolima
0–0
D
1 Oct
vs Junior
3–1
W
26 Sep
vs Chapecoense-sc
1–1
D
25 Sep
vs Millonarios
1–1
D
21 Sep
@ Llaneros
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chico and Atletico Nacional.
What is the prediction for Chico vs Atletico Nacional?
Our pick is Atletico Nacional to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Chico vs Atletico Nacional?
On our numbers Chico have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atletico Nacional 62%.
How many goals will there be in Chico vs Atletico Nacional?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chico vs Atletico Nacional?
Our predicted score is Chico 0–1 Atletico Nacional, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Chico vs Atletico Nacional?
Chico vs Atletico Nacional (Primera A) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Independencia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
