Deportes Tolima vs Junior: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 26 July the Primera A brings Deportes Tolima against Junior at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro. Kick-off: 02:15 WAT. In the table, Deportes Tolima are 9th, upper half, on 26 points after 18 matches; Junior are 14th (lower half) with 19.
Current form
Deportes Tolima, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Quindio, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Junior, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Barranquilla, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportes Tolima 1.5 xG, Junior 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportes Tolima 46%, draw 26%, Junior 28%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportes Tolima 1–1 Junior. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportes Tolima46%fair 2.19 · @2.10
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.20
Junior28%fair 3.53 · @3.60
2.56Expected goals
1.48Deportes Tolima xG
1.08Junior xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Deportes Tolima 1.5 – 1.1 Junior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Deportes Tolima
Junior
Attack vs Primera A average
+1%
+13%
Goals conceded vs average
-7%
+7%
Our expected goals here
1.58
1.12
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportes Tolima to win✓
46%
2.19
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.83
Draw no bet
Deportes Tolima (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
Junior +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.08
First team to score
Deportes Tolima to score first✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportes Tolima / FT Deportes Tolima✓
27%
3.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.94
–
Recent results
Deportes Tolima – last 6
WDLLLW
22 Jul
vs Quindio
2–1
W
27 May
@ Universitario
0–0
D
24 May
@ Atletico Nacional
1–3
L
19 May
@ Coquimbo Unido
0–3
L
17 May
vs Atletico Nacional
0–1
L
14 May
@ Deportivo Pasto
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Junior – last 6
DLWLWD
23 Jul
vs Barranquilla
2–2
D
8 Jun
@ Atletico Nacional
0–1
L
3 Jun
vs Atletico Nacional
3–0
W
28 May
@ Palmeiras
1–4
L
21 May
vs Sporting Cristal
3–2
W
17 May
@ Santa Fe
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportes Tolima and Junior.
What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima vs Junior?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Deportes Tolima vs Junior?
On our numbers Deportes Tolima have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Junior 28%.
How many goals will there be in Deportes Tolima vs Junior?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportes Tolima vs Junior?
Our predicted score is Deportes Tolima 1–1 Junior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Deportes Tolima vs Junior?
Deportes Tolima vs Junior (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 02:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
