Atletico Nacional 65%Draw 20%Junior 16%Expected goals 1.97 – 0.84
65%
Betarazi pick
Atletico Nacional to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultAtletico Nacional to win ✓65% · @1.40
Double chanceAtletico Nacional or draw ✓84% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Atletico Nacional vs Junior: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:00 WAT, Thursday 1 October: Atletico Nacional v Junior in the Primera A, played at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. In the table, Atletico Nacional are 1st, leading the league, on 39 points after 18 matches; Junior are 14th (lower half) with 19. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atletico Nacional, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Chapecoense-sc, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Junior, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Independiente Medellin, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Atletico Nacional, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Junior.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Jun 2026) it ended Atletico Nacional 1–0 Junior. The last 3 head-to-heads: Atletico Nacional 2 wins, Junior 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.7 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Nacional 2.0 xG, Junior 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Nacional 65%, draw 20%, Junior 16%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Atletico Nacional to win (65%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Nacional 1–0 Junior. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Nacional65%fair 1.55 · @1.40
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @4.40
Junior16%fair 6.38 · @6.50
2.81Expected goals
1.97Atletico Nacional xG
0.84Junior xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Atletico Nacional 2.0 – 0.8 Junior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atletico Nacional vs Junior?
Our pick is Atletico Nacional to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Atletico Nacional vs Junior?
On our numbers Atletico Nacional have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Junior 16%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Nacional vs Junior?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Nacional vs Junior?
Our predicted score is Atletico Nacional 1–0 Junior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Atletico Nacional vs Junior?
Atletico Nacional vs Junior (Primera A) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
