Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultChico to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceChico or draw ✗83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.78
Chico vs Alianza Valledupar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chico welcome Alianza Valledupar to Estadio La Independencia for a Primera A fixture on Wednesday 16 September (01:30 WAT). In the table, Chico are 15th, lower half, on 19 points after 18 matches; Alianza Valledupar are 16th (lower half) with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Chico, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Independiente Medellin, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Alianza Valledupar, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Junior, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Chico, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Alianza Valledupar.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chico 1.6 xG, Alianza Valledupar 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chico 58%, draw 24%, Alianza Valledupar 17%.
Lower-risk option: Chico or draw (83%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Chico or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chico 1–0 Alianza Valledupar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chico58%fair 1.71 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.10
Alianza Valledupar17%fair 5.74 · @4.20
2.40Expected goals
1.64Chico xG
0.76Alianza Valledupar xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Chico 1.6 – 0.8 Alianza Valledupar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chico to win✗
58%
1.71
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Chico or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Chico (draw no bet)✗
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Alianza Valledupar +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Chico to score first
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chico / FT Chico✗
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.78
–
Recent results
Chico – last 6
WWDDLL
13 Sep
vs Independiente Medellin
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Once Caldas
2–0
W
30 Aug
@ Águilas Doradas
2–2
D
26 Aug
vs Fortaleza FC
0–0
D
21 Aug
@ Jaguares
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Santa Fe
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Alianza Valledupar – last 6
WLLLLD
13 Sep
vs Junior
1–0
W
10 Sep
@ Once Caldas
0–1
L
3 Sep
@ America de Cali
0–3
L
30 Aug
vs Atletico Nacional
1–5
L
26 Aug
@ Cucuta
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Deportivo Pereira
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chico and Alianza Valledupar.
What is the prediction for Chico vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our pick is Chico or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Chico vs Alianza Valledupar?
On our numbers Chico have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Alianza Valledupar 17%.
How many goals will there be in Chico vs Alianza Valledupar?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chico vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our predicted score is Chico 1–0 Alianza Valledupar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Chico vs Alianza Valledupar?
Chico vs Alianza Valledupar (Primera A) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Independencia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
