Deportivo Pereira 12%Draw 25%Santa Fe 62%Expected goals 0.68 – 1.78
88%
Betarazi pick
Santa Fe or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Santa Fe to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSanta Fe to win ✓62% · @1.85
Double chanceSanta Fe or draw ✓88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.85
Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Santa Fe travel to face Deportivo Pereira on Tuesday 29 September in the Primera A, with Estadio Hernan Ramirez Villegas the venue – the ball rolls at 21:30 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Pereira are 17th, lower half, on 17 points after 18 matches; Santa Fe are 5th (upper half) with 31. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Deportivo Pereira, last 5: DDLLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Internacional de Bogota, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Santa Fe, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Union Magdalena, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Santa Fe, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Deportivo Pereira.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Pereira 0.7 xG, Santa Fe 1.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Pereira 12%, draw 25%, Santa Fe 62%.
Lower-risk option: Santa Fe or draw (88%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Santa Fe to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Santa Fe or draw (88%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.14, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Pereira 0–1 Santa Fe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Pereira12%fair 8.01 · @4.20
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.10
Santa Fe62%fair 1.61 · @1.85
2.46Expected goals
0.68Deportivo Pereira xG
1.78Santa Fe xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–09%
0–38%
From our goals model: Deportivo Pereira 0.7 – 1.8 Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santa Fe to win✓
62%
1.61
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Santa Fe or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.20 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.91
Draw no bet
Santa Fe (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Santa Fe -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Santa Fe to score first
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Santa Fe ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santa Fe / FT Santa Fe✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
10.85
–
Recent results
Deportivo Pereira – last 6
DDLLDL
26 Sep
vs Internacional de Bogota
0–0
D
18 Sep
@ Águilas Doradas
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Bucaramanga
1–3
L
10 Sep
@ America de Cali
1–4
L
7 Sep
vs Millonarios
1–1
D
4 Sep
vs Independiente Medellin
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Santa Fe – last 6
DLWLWD
26 Sep
@ Union Magdalena
1–1
D
23 Sep
vs Deportivo Cali
0–1
L
19 Sep
@ Alianza Valledupar
4–1
W
15 Sep
@ Vasco DA Gama
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Deportes Tolima
1–0
W
8 Sep
vs Vasco DA Gama
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Pereira and Santa Fe.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe?
Our pick is Santa Fe or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe?
On our numbers Deportivo Pereira have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Santa Fe 62%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Pereira 0–1 Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe?
Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe (Primera A) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Hernan Ramirez Villegas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
