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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bucaramanga v Deportivo Pasto: numbers & prediction

Primera A · Colombia · Estadio Américo Montanini
2–1
FT
Bucaramanga 64%Draw 24%Deportivo Pasto 12% Expected goals 1.81 – 0.66
64%
Betarazi pick

Bucaramanga to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultBucaramanga to win ✓64% · @1.60
Double chanceBucaramanga or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.52

Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Deportivo Pasto travel to face Bucaramanga on Saturday 31 October in the Primera A, with Estadio Américo Montanini the venue – the ball rolls at 02:05 WAT. In the table, Bucaramanga are 4th, among the top four, on 32 points after 18 matches; Deportivo Pasto are 18th (in the drop zone) with 15. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Bucaramanga, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Santa Fe, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Deportivo Pasto, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Deportes Tolima, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bucaramanga 1.8 xG, Deportivo Pasto 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bucaramanga 64%, draw 24%, Deportivo Pasto 12%.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Bucaramanga to win (64%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bucaramanga 1–0 Deportivo Pasto. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bucaramanga64%fair 1.56 · @1.60
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.50
Deportivo Pasto12%fair 8.41 · @5.50
2.47Expected goals
1.81Bucaramanga xG
0.66Deportivo Pasto xG
50%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%

From our goals model: Bucaramanga 1.8 – 0.7 Deportivo Pasto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBucaramanga to win ✓64%1.561.60
Double chanceBucaramanga or draw ✓88%1.131.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%1.991.67
Draw no betBucaramanga (draw no bet) ✓84%1.19–
Asian handicapBucaramanga -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.42–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.81–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.12–
First team to scoreBucaramanga to score first67%1.49–
Half-time resultBucaramanga ahead at half-time ✗45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bucaramanga / FT Bucaramanga ✗41%2.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.52–

Recent results

Bucaramanga – last 6

LLDDWW
27 Oct@ Santa Fe1–2L
24 Oct@ Chico0–1L
18 Octvs America de Cali1–1D
14 Octvs Águilas Doradas1–1D
5 Octvs Junior3–1W
26 Sep@ Once Caldas3–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Deportivo Pasto – last 6

WLLDLW
26 Oct@ Deportes Tolima1–0W
23 Oct@ Atletico Nacional0–3L
20 Octvs Alianza Valledupar0–1L
4 Octvs Fortaleza FC0–0D
26 Sep@ Chico0–3L
20 Sepvs Once Caldas1–0W
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bucaramanga and Deportivo Pasto.

Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto?

Our pick is Bucaramanga to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto?

On our numbers Bucaramanga have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Deportivo Pasto 12%.

How many goals will there be in Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto?

Our predicted score is Bucaramanga 1–0 Deportivo Pasto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto?

Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto (Primera A) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 02:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Américo Montanini.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.