Value bet: Junior to win @ 2.62 – our chance 43% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultJunior to win ✗43% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.43
Chico vs Junior: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chico welcome Junior to Estadio La Independencia for a Primera A fixture on Wednesday 28 October (02:05 WAT). In the table, Chico are 15th, lower half, on 19 points after 18 matches; Junior are 14th (lower half) with 19. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Chico, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Bucaramanga, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Junior, last 5: WDDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Águilas Doradas, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chico 1.2 xG, Junior 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chico 34%, draw 23%, Junior 43%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Junior to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.73, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chico 1–1 Junior. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chico34%fair 2.95 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.10
Junior43%fair 2.32 · @2.62
2.62Expected goals
1.21Chico xG
1.41Junior xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Chico 1.2 – 1.4 Junior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Junior to win✗
43%
2.32
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.80
Draw no bet
Junior (draw no bet)
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Chico +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
First team to score
Junior to score first
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Junior / FT Junior✗
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.43
–
Recent results
Chico – last 6
WLLLDW
24 Oct
vs Bucaramanga
1–0
W
20 Oct
@ Deportivo Pereira
0–2
L
17 Oct
vs Atletico Nacional
1–4
L
12 Oct
vs Cucuta
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ Deportes Tolima
0–0
D
26 Sep
vs Deportivo Pasto
3–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Junior – last 6
WDDDLL
24 Oct
vs Águilas Doradas
1–0
W
19 Oct
@ Deportivo Cali
0–0
D
14 Oct
vs Deportivo Pereira
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Internacional de Bogota
2–2
D
5 Oct
@ Bucaramanga
1–3
L
1 Oct
@ Atletico Nacional
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chico and Junior.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Chico vs Junior?
On our numbers Chico have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Junior 43%.
How many goals will there be in Chico vs Junior?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chico vs Junior?
Our predicted score is Chico 1–1 Junior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Chico vs Junior?
Chico vs Junior (Primera A) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 02:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Independencia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
