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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Santa Fe v Jaguares: numbers & prediction

Primera A · Colombia · Estadio El Campin

Santa Fe

LDWWD
2–1
FT

Jaguares

LWLLL
Santa Fe 71%Draw 17%Jaguares 12% Expected goals 2.07 – 0.66
71%
Betarazi pick

Santa Fe to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultSanta Fe to win ✓71% · @1.25
Double chanceSanta Fe or draw ✓88% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.82

Santa Fe vs Jaguares: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Jaguares travel to face Santa Fe on Thursday 22 October in the Primera A, with Estadio El Campin the venue – the ball rolls at 02:20 WAT. In the table, Santa Fe are 5th, upper half, on 31 points after 18 matches; Jaguares are 19th (in the drop zone) with 13. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Santa Fe, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Llaneros, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Jaguares, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Millonarios, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Santa Fe, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Jaguares.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Feb 2026) it ended Jaguares 3–1 Santa Fe.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Santa Fe 2.1 xG, Jaguares 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Santa Fe 71%, draw 17%, Jaguares 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Santa Fe to win (71%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santa Fe 2–0 Jaguares. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Santa Fe71%fair 1.40 · @1.25
Draw17%fair 5.91 · @5.50
Jaguares12%fair 8.43 · @10.00
2.73Expected goals
2.07Santa Fe xG
0.66Jaguares xG
52%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–014%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%

From our goals model: Santa Fe 2.1 – 0.7 Jaguares expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSanta Fe to win ✓71%1.401.25
Double chanceSanta Fe or draw ✓88%1.131.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.941.80
Draw no betSanta Fe (draw no bet) ✓86%1.17–
Asian handicapSanta Fe -1 (Asian handicap)60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.95–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreSanta Fe to score first ✓71%1.41–
Half-time resultSanta Fe ahead at half-time ✓50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Santa Fe / FT Santa Fe ✓46%2.18–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.82–

Recent results

Santa Fe – last 6

LDWWDL
19 Oct@ Llaneros0–1L
11 Octvs Fortaleza FC2–2D
6 Oct@ Independiente Medellin1–0W
29 Sep@ Deportivo Pereira2–1W
26 Sep@ Union Magdalena1–1D
23 Sepvs Deportivo Cali0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Jaguares – last 6

LWLLLD
18 Oct@ Millonarios1–4L
11 Octvs Deportes Tolima3–2W
3 Oct@ Águilas Doradas0–2L
27 Sepvs Alianza Valledupar1–2L
23 Sep@ Independiente Medellin1–2L
12 Sepvs Fortaleza FC2–2D
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Feb 2026Jaguares v Santa Fe3–1
Santa Fe vs Jaguares head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

More Primera A predictions

League hub
FT Llaneros0 Deportivo Cali3 136%2.70X25%2.90240%2.62 1.0–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@1.91 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Santa Fe vs Jaguares?

Our pick is Santa Fe to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Santa Fe vs Jaguares?

On our numbers Santa Fe have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Jaguares 12%.

How many goals will there be in Santa Fe vs Jaguares?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Santa Fe vs Jaguares?

Our predicted score is Santa Fe 2–0 Jaguares, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Santa Fe vs Jaguares?

Santa Fe vs Jaguares (Primera A) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 02:20 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Campin.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.