Jaguares 14%Draw 24%America de Cali 62%Expected goals 0.70 – 1.75
86%
Betarazi pick
America de Cali or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: America de Cali to win @ 1.84 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAmerica de Cali to win ✗62% · @1.84
Double chanceAmerica de Cali or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.66
Jaguares vs America de Cali: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:25 WAT, Saturday 29 August: Jaguares v America de Cali in the Primera A, played at Estadio Jaraguay. In the table, Jaguares are 19th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 18 matches; America de Cali are 2nd (among the top four) with 36. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Jaguares, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Chico, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
America de Cali, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Junior, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours America de Cali, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.7 for Jaguares.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Feb 2026) it ended America de Cali 3–0 Jaguares.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jaguares 0.7 xG, America de Cali 1.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 45%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jaguares 14%, draw 24%, America de Cali 62%.
Lower-risk option: America de Cali or draw (86%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: America de Cali to win @1.84 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was America de Cali or draw (86%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jaguares 0–1 America de Cali. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jaguares14%fair 7.16 · @4.40
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.35
America de Cali62%fair 1.61 · @1.84
2.46Expected goals
0.70Jaguares xG
1.75America de Cali xG
45%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
0–38%
From our goals model: Jaguares 0.7 – 1.8 America de Cali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Jaguares vs America de Cali?
Our pick is America de Cali or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Jaguares vs America de Cali?
On our numbers Jaguares have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 24% and America de Cali 62%.
How many goals will there be in Jaguares vs America de Cali?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jaguares vs America de Cali?
Our predicted score is Jaguares 0–1 America de Cali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Jaguares vs America de Cali?
Jaguares vs America de Cali (Primera A) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 22:25 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jaraguay.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
