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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Santa Fe v Deportes Tolima: numbers & prediction

Primera A · Colombia
1–0
FT
Santa Fe 39%Draw 24%Deportes Tolima 36% Expected goals 1.30 – 1.23
50%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.98 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultSanta Fe to win ✓39% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.06

Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 12 September the Primera A brings Santa Fe against Deportes Tolima. Kick-off: 02:30 WAT. In the table, Santa Fe are 5th, upper half, on 31 points after 18 matches; Deportes Tolima are 9th (upper half) with 26.

Current form

Santa Fe, last 5: DDWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Vasco DA Gama, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Deportes Tolima, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Llaneros, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Deportes Tolima 2–2 Santa Fe.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Santa Fe 1.3 xG, Deportes Tolima 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Santa Fe 39%, draw 24%, Deportes Tolima 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (50%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santa Fe 1–1 Deportes Tolima. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Santa Fe39%fair 2.53 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @2.90
Deportes Tolima36%fair 2.78 · @2.90
2.53Expected goals
1.30Santa Fe xG
1.23Deportes Tolima xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%

From our goals model: Santa Fe 1.3 – 1.2 Deportes Tolima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSanta Fe to win ✓39%2.532.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.981.85
Draw no betSanta Fe (draw no bet) ✓52%1.91–
Asian handicapDeportes Tolima +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.87–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
First team to scoreSanta Fe to score first ✓47%2.11–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Santa Fe / FT Santa Fe ✗22%4.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.06–

Recent results

Santa Fe – last 6

DDWDDD
8 Sepvs Vasco DA Gama0–0D
6 Sepvs Fortaleza FC2–2D
3 Sepvs Millonarios3–2W
30 Aug@ Junior1–1D
27 Aug@ River Plate1–1D
23 Augvs America de Cali0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Deportes Tolima – last 6

WWLDLW
8 Sep@ Llaneros2–1W
1 Sepvs Cucuta2–1W
26 Aug@ Independiente del Valle1–3L
22 Augvs Bucaramanga0–0D
19 Augvs Independiente del Valle0–1L
9 Augvs Internacional de Bogota2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Deportes Tolima v Santa Fe2–2
Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

More Primera A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima?

On our numbers Santa Fe have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Deportes Tolima 36%.

How many goals will there be in Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima?

Our predicted score is Santa Fe 1–1 Deportes Tolima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima?

Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima (Primera A) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.