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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Alianza Valledupar v Santa Fe: numbers & prediction

Primera A · Colombia · Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau

Alianza Valledupar

WWLLL
1–4
FT

Santa Fe

LWDDW
Alianza Valledupar 34%Draw 24%Santa Fe 42% Expected goals 1.13 – 1.31
56%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.77 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.95Odds

Picks by market

ResultSanta Fe to win ✓42% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.83

Alianza Valledupar vs Santa Fe: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Santa Fe travel to face Alianza Valledupar on Saturday 19 September in the Primera A, with Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau the venue – the ball rolls at 22:05 WAT. In the table, Alianza Valledupar are 16th, lower half, on 18 points after 18 matches; Santa Fe are 5th (upper half) with 31. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Alianza Valledupar, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Chico, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Santa Fe, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Vasco DA Gama, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Santa Fe, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Alianza Valledupar.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Santa Fe 1–1 Alianza Valledupar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alianza Valledupar 1.1 xG, Santa Fe 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza Valledupar 34%, draw 24%, Santa Fe 42%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.77, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza Valledupar 1–1 Santa Fe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alianza Valledupar34%fair 2.97 · @2.75
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.00
Santa Fe42%fair 2.37 · @2.50
2.44Expected goals
1.13Alianza Valledupar xG
1.31Santa Fe xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–27%

From our goals model: Alianza Valledupar 1.1 – 1.3 Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSanta Fe to win ✓42%2.372.50 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.771.95 ▲
Draw no betSanta Fe (draw no bet) ✓56%1.80–
Asian handicapAlianza Valledupar +1 (Asian handicap) ✗76%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.79–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77%1.30–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗90%1.11–
First team to scoreSanta Fe to score first ✓49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Santa Fe / FT Santa Fe ✓24%4.25–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.83–

Recent results

Alianza Valledupar – last 6

WWLLLL
16 Sep@ Chico2–1W
13 Sepvs Junior1–0W
10 Sep@ Once Caldas0–1L
3 Sep@ America de Cali0–3L
30 Augvs Atletico Nacional1–5L
26 Aug@ Cucuta0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Santa Fe – last 6

LWDDWD
15 Sep@ Vasco DA Gama0–2L
12 Sepvs Deportes Tolima1–0W
8 Sepvs Vasco DA Gama0–0D
6 Sepvs Fortaleza FC2–2D
3 Sepvs Millonarios3–2W
30 Aug@ Junior1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Mar 2026Santa Fe v Alianza Valledupar1–1
Alianza Valledupar vs Santa Fe head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

More Primera A predictions

League hub
FT Millonarios3 Chico0 169%1.25X17%4.80213%12.00 1.9–0.6xG 1Millonarios to win 69%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar vs Santa Fe?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Alianza Valledupar vs Santa Fe?

On our numbers Alianza Valledupar have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Santa Fe 42%.

How many goals will there be in Alianza Valledupar vs Santa Fe?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alianza Valledupar vs Santa Fe?

Our predicted score is Alianza Valledupar 1–1 Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Alianza Valledupar vs Santa Fe?

Alianza Valledupar vs Santa Fe (Primera A) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 22:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.