Deportivo Pasto vs Once Caldas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:15 WAT, Sunday 20 September: Deportivo Pasto v Once Caldas in the Primera A, played at Estadio Departamental Libertad. In the table, Deportivo Pasto are 18th, in the drop zone, on 15 points after 18 matches; Once Caldas are 8th (upper half) with 27. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Deportivo Pasto, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over America de Cali, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Once Caldas, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Deportes Tolima, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Once Caldas, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Deportivo Pasto.
Head to head
When they last met (14 Mar 2026) it ended Once Caldas 4–2 Deportivo Pasto.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Pasto 1.1 xG, Once Caldas 1.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Pasto 29%, draw 23%, Once Caldas 48%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Pasto 1–1 Once Caldas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Pasto29%fair 3.47 · @3.50
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.10
Once Caldas48%fair 2.08 · @2.05
2.70Expected goals
1.14Deportivo Pasto xG
1.56Once Caldas xG
54%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Deportivo Pasto 1.1 – 1.6 Once Caldas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Pasto vs Once Caldas?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Deportivo Pasto vs Once Caldas?
On our numbers Deportivo Pasto have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Once Caldas 48%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Pasto vs Once Caldas?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Pasto vs Once Caldas?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Pasto 1–1 Once Caldas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Pasto vs Once Caldas?
Deportivo Pasto vs Once Caldas (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 02:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Departamental Libertad.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
