Llaneros 17%Draw 24%Atletico Nacional 59%Expected goals 0.81 – 1.74
59%
Betarazi pick
Atletico Nacional to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultAtletico Nacional to win ✗59% · @1.70
Double chanceAtletico Nacional or draw ✗83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.44
Llaneros vs Atletico Nacional: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Llaneros welcome Atletico Nacional to Estadio Manuel Calle Lombana for a Primera A fixture on Monday 21 September (02:15 WAT). In the table, Llaneros are 12th, lower half, on 23 points after 18 matches; Atletico Nacional are 1st (leading the league) with 39. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Llaneros, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Internacional de Bogota, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Atletico Nacional, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Internacional de Bogota, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Atletico Nacional, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.7 for Llaneros.
Head to head
When they last met (14 Mar 2026) it ended Atletico Nacional 2–0 Llaneros.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Llaneros 0.8 xG, Atletico Nacional 1.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Llaneros 17%, draw 24%, Atletico Nacional 59%.
Lower-risk option: Atletico Nacional or draw (83%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Atletico Nacional to win (59%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Llaneros 0–1 Atletico Nacional. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Llaneros17%fair 5.83 · @4.60
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.40
Atletico Nacional59%fair 1.69 · @1.70
2.55Expected goals
0.81Llaneros xG
1.74Atletico Nacional xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Llaneros 0.8 – 1.7 Atletico Nacional expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Llaneros vs Atletico Nacional?
Our pick is Atletico Nacional to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Llaneros vs Atletico Nacional?
On our numbers Llaneros have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atletico Nacional 59%.
How many goals will there be in Llaneros vs Atletico Nacional?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Llaneros vs Atletico Nacional?
Our predicted score is Llaneros 0–1 Atletico Nacional, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Llaneros vs Atletico Nacional?
Llaneros vs Atletico Nacional (Primera A) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 02:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Calle Lombana.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
