Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.03
Deportes Tolima vs Chico: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:05 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Deportes Tolima v Chico in the Primera A, played at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro. In the table, Deportes Tolima are 9th, upper half, on 26 points after 18 matches; Chico are 15th (lower half) with 19.
Current form
Deportes Tolima, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Fortaleza FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Chico, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Deportivo Pasto, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Mar 2026) it ended Chico 1–1 Deportes Tolima.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportes Tolima 1.9 xG, Chico 0.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 46%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportes Tolima 70%, draw 22%, Chico 8%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Deportes Tolima to win (70%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportes Tolima 1–0 Chico. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportes Tolima70%fair 1.42 · @1.30
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @4.60
Chico8%fair 13.09 · @9.50
2.46Expected goals
1.94Deportes Tolima xG
0.52Chico xG
46%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–016%
3–010%
1–19%
0–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Deportes Tolima 1.9 – 0.5 Chico expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima vs Chico?
Our pick is Deportes Tolima to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Deportes Tolima vs Chico?
On our numbers Deportes Tolima have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chico 8%.
How many goals will there be in Deportes Tolima vs Chico?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportes Tolima vs Chico?
Our predicted score is Deportes Tolima 1–0 Chico, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Deportes Tolima vs Chico?
Deportes Tolima vs Chico (Primera A) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 22:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
