Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultDeportes Tolima to win ✗64% · @1.75
Double chanceDeportes Tolima or draw ✗85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.74
Jaguares vs Deportes Tolima: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:05 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Jaguares v Deportes Tolima in the Primera A, played at Estadio Jaraguay. In the table, Jaguares are 19th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 18 matches; Deportes Tolima are 9th (upper half) with 26. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Jaguares, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Águilas Doradas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Deportes Tolima, last 5: DDDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Atletico Nacional, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Deportes Tolima 3–1 Jaguares.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jaguares 0.7 xG, Deportes Tolima 1.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jaguares 15%, draw 21%, Deportes Tolima 64%.
Lower-risk option: Deportes Tolima or draw (85%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Deportes Tolima to win (64%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jaguares 0–1 Deportes Tolima. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jaguares15%fair 6.59 · @4.50
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.30
Deportes Tolima64%fair 1.57 · @1.75
2.48Expected goals
0.71Jaguares xG
1.77Deportes Tolima xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–38%
From our goals model: Jaguares 0.7 – 1.8 Deportes Tolima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Jaguares vs Deportes Tolima?
Our pick is Deportes Tolima to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Jaguares vs Deportes Tolima?
On our numbers Jaguares have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Deportes Tolima 64%.
How many goals will there be in Jaguares vs Deportes Tolima?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jaguares vs Deportes Tolima?
Our predicted score is Jaguares 0–1 Deportes Tolima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Jaguares vs Deportes Tolima?
Jaguares vs Deportes Tolima (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 22:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jaraguay.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
