Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Pasto to win ✗63% · @1.70
Double chanceDeportivo Pasto or draw ✗85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.63
Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Valledupar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 20 October the Primera A brings Deportivo Pasto against Alianza Valledupar at Estadio Departamental Libertad. Kick-off: 02:05 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Pasto are 18th, in the drop zone, on 15 points after 18 matches; Alianza Valledupar are 16th (lower half) with 18. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Deportivo Pasto, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Fortaleza FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Alianza Valledupar, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Águilas Doradas, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Apr 2026) it ended Alianza Valledupar 0–0 Deportivo Pasto.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Pasto 1.8 xG, Alianza Valledupar 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Pasto 63%, draw 23%, Alianza Valledupar 15%.
Lower-risk option: Deportivo Pasto or draw (85%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Deportivo Pasto to win (63%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Pasto 1–0 Alianza Valledupar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Pasto63%fair 1.60 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.30
Alianza Valledupar15%fair 6.86 · @4.80
2.52Expected goals
1.79Deportivo Pasto xG
0.73Alianza Valledupar xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Deportivo Pasto 1.8 – 0.7 Alianza Valledupar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our pick is Deportivo Pasto to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Valledupar?
On our numbers Deportivo Pasto have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Alianza Valledupar 15%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Valledupar?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Pasto 1–0 Alianza Valledupar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Valledupar?
Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Valledupar (Primera A) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 02:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Departamental Libertad.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
