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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Llaneros v Santa Fe: numbers & prediction

Primera A · Colombia · Estadio Manuel Calle Lombana
1–0
FT
Llaneros 35%Draw 25%Santa Fe 40% Expected goals 1.15 – 1.24
57%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.75 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.91Odds

Picks by market

ResultSanta Fe to win ✗40% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.31

Llaneros vs Santa Fe: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:05 WAT, Monday 19 October: Llaneros v Santa Fe in the Primera A, played at Estadio Manuel Calle Lombana. In the table, Llaneros are 12th, lower half, on 23 points after 18 matches; Santa Fe are 5th (upper half) with 31.

Current form

Llaneros, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Internacional de Bogota, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Santa Fe, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Fortaleza FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Santa Fe, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Llaneros.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Apr 2026) it ended Santa Fe 0–1 Llaneros.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Llaneros 1.1 xG, Santa Fe 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Llaneros 35%, draw 25%, Santa Fe 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.75, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Llaneros 1–1 Santa Fe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Llaneros35%fair 2.83 · @2.75
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.90
Santa Fe40%fair 2.50 · @2.60
2.39Expected goals
1.15Llaneros xG
1.24Santa Fe xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Llaneros 1.1 – 1.2 Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSanta Fe to win ✗40%2.502.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.751.91 ▲
Draw no betSanta Fe (draw no bet) ✗53%1.88–
Asian handicapLlaneros +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.75–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreSanta Fe to score first ✗47%2.12–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Santa Fe / FT Santa Fe ✗22%4.54–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.31–

Recent results

Llaneros – last 6

LLLLWL
16 Oct@ Internacional de Bogota1–4L
10 Oct@ Once Caldas0–1L
5 Octvs America de Cali1–2L
27 Sep@ Cucuta1–2L
21 Sepvs Atletico Nacional2–0W
12 Sep@ Internacional de Bogota2–3L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Santa Fe – last 6

DWWDLW
11 Octvs Fortaleza FC2–2D
6 Oct@ Independiente Medellin1–0W
29 Sep@ Deportivo Pereira2–1W
26 Sep@ Union Magdalena1–1D
23 Sepvs Deportivo Cali0–1L
19 Sep@ Alianza Valledupar4–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Apr 2026Santa Fe v Llaneros0–1
Llaneros vs Santa Fe head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

More Primera A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Llaneros vs Santa Fe?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.

Who will win Llaneros vs Santa Fe?

On our numbers Llaneros have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Santa Fe 40%.

How many goals will there be in Llaneros vs Santa Fe?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Llaneros vs Santa Fe?

Our predicted score is Llaneros 1–1 Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Llaneros vs Santa Fe?

Llaneros vs Santa Fe (Primera A) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 00:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Calle Lombana.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.