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Alianza Valledupar v Internacional de Bogota: numbers & prediction

Primera A · Colombia · Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau
Alianza Valledupar 40%Draw 24%Internacional de Bogota 36% Expected goals 1.37 – 1.28
58%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.73 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.80Odds
2

Value bet: Internacional de Bogota to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAlianza Valledupar to win ✓40% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.79

Alianza Valledupar vs Internacional de Bogota: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 25 October the Primera A brings Alianza Valledupar against Internacional de Bogota at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau. Kick-off: 22:05 WAT. In the table, Alianza Valledupar are 16th, lower half, on 18 points after 18 matches; Internacional de Bogota are 13th (lower half) with 20. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Alianza Valledupar, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Deportivo Pasto, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Internacional de Bogota, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Fortaleza FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Apr 2026) it ended Internacional de Bogota 2–1 Alianza Valledupar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alianza Valledupar 1.4 xG, Internacional de Bogota 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza Valledupar 40%, draw 24%, Internacional de Bogota 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Internacional de Bogota to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.73, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza Valledupar 1–1 Internacional de Bogota. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alianza Valledupar40%fair 2.50 · @2.38
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.00
Internacional de Bogota36%fair 2.79 · @3.00
2.65Expected goals
1.37Alianza Valledupar xG
1.28Internacional de Bogota xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: Alianza Valledupar 1.4 – 1.3 Internacional de Bogota expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlianza Valledupar to win ✓40%2.502.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.731.80
Draw no betAlianza Valledupar (draw no bet) ✓53%1.90–
Asian handicapInternacional de Bogota +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.98–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.38–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreAlianza Valledupar to score first ✓48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Alianza Valledupar / FT Alianza Valledupar ✓23%4.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.79–

Recent results

Alianza Valledupar – last 6

WDLWLW
20 Oct@ Deportivo Pasto1–0W
10 Octvs Águilas Doradas2–2D
3 Oct@ Deportivo Cali1–3L
27 Sep@ Jaguares2–1W
19 Sepvs Santa Fe1–4L
16 Sep@ Chico2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Internacional de Bogota – last 6

WWDDDL
21 Octvs Fortaleza FC2–1W
16 Octvs Llaneros4–1W
11 Oct@ Junior2–2D
4 Octvs Once Caldas1–1D
26 Sep@ Deportivo Pereira0–0D
20 Sep@ Bucaramanga0–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Apr 2026Internacional de Bogota v Alianza Valledupar2–1
Alianza Valledupar vs Internacional de Bogota head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

More Primera A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar vs Internacional de Bogota?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Alianza Valledupar vs Internacional de Bogota?

On our numbers Alianza Valledupar have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Internacional de Bogota 36%.

How many goals will there be in Alianza Valledupar vs Internacional de Bogota?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alianza Valledupar vs Internacional de Bogota?

Our predicted score is Alianza Valledupar 1–1 Internacional de Bogota, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Alianza Valledupar vs Internacional de Bogota?

Alianza Valledupar vs Internacional de Bogota (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 22:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.