Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDeportes Tolima to win ✗66% · @1.36
Double chanceDeportes Tolima or draw ✗87% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.19
Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportivo Pasto travel to face Deportes Tolima on Monday 26 October in the Primera A, with Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro the venue – the ball rolls at 02:15 WAT. In the table, Deportes Tolima are 9th, upper half, on 26 points after 18 matches; Deportivo Pasto are 18th (in the drop zone) with 15.
Current form
Deportes Tolima, last 5: LLDDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Águilas Doradas, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Deportivo Pasto, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Atletico Nacional, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Deportivo Pasto, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Deportes Tolima.
Head to head
When they last met (14 May 2026) it ended Deportivo Pasto 0–2 Deportes Tolima. The last 3 head-to-heads: Deportes Tolima 2 wins, Deportivo Pasto 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.3 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportes Tolima 1.8 xG, Deportivo Pasto 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportes Tolima 66%, draw 20%, Deportivo Pasto 13%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Deportes Tolima to win (66%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportes Tolima 1–0 Deportivo Pasto. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportes Tolima66%fair 1.51 · @1.36
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @4.20
Deportivo Pasto13%fair 7.48 · @8.00
2.41Expected goals
1.79Deportes Tolima xG
0.62Deportivo Pasto xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–09%
From our goals model: Deportes Tolima 1.8 – 0.6 Deportivo Pasto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto?
Our pick is Deportes Tolima to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto?
On our numbers Deportes Tolima have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Deportivo Pasto 13%.
How many goals will there be in Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto?
Our predicted score is Deportes Tolima 1–0 Deportivo Pasto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto?
Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto (Primera A) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 02:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
