Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultIndependiente Medellin to win ✓62% · @1.50
Double chanceIndependiente Medellin or draw ✓81% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.41
Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Valledupar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Independiente Medellin welcome Alianza Valledupar to Estadio Atanasio Girardot for a Primera A fixture on Monday 2 November (00:10 WAT). In the table, Independiente Medellin are 6th, upper half, on 29 points after 18 matches; Alianza Valledupar are 16th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Independiente Medellin, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Internacional de Bogota, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Alianza Valledupar, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Once Caldas, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Alianza Valledupar, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Independiente Medellin.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Independiente Medellin 1.8 xG, Alianza Valledupar 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Independiente Medellin 62%, draw 19%, Alianza Valledupar 19%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Independiente Medellin to win (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independiente Medellin 1–0 Alianza Valledupar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Independiente Medellin62%fair 1.62 · @1.50
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @3.90
Alianza Valledupar19%fair 5.27 · @6.00
2.57Expected goals
1.76Independiente Medellin xG
0.81Alianza Valledupar xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Independiente Medellin 1.8 – 0.8 Alianza Valledupar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente Medellin to win✓
62%
1.62
1.50
Double chance
Independiente Medellin or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.85
Draw no bet
Independiente Medellin (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Alianza Valledupar +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Independiente Medellin to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Independiente Medellin ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente Medellin / FT Independiente Medellin✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.41
–
Recent results
Independiente Medellin – last 6
LLLLWL
29 Oct
@ Internacional de Bogota
1–3
L
26 Oct
@ Atletico Nacional
1–2
L
18 Oct
vs Once Caldas
0–2
L
15 Oct
@ Atletico Nacional
2–3
L
12 Oct
@ America de Cali
2–1
W
6 Oct
vs Santa Fe
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Alianza Valledupar – last 6
LWWDLW
29 Oct
@ Once Caldas
0–1
L
25 Oct
vs Internacional de Bogota
1–0
W
20 Oct
@ Deportivo Pasto
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Águilas Doradas
2–2
D
3 Oct
@ Deportivo Cali
1–3
L
27 Sep
@ Jaguares
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente Medellin and Alianza Valledupar.
What is the prediction for Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our pick is Independiente Medellin to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Valledupar?
On our numbers Independiente Medellin have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Alianza Valledupar 19%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Valledupar?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our predicted score is Independiente Medellin 1–0 Alianza Valledupar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Valledupar?
Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Valledupar (Primera A) kicks off on Monday 2 November 2026 at 00:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
