Value bet: Once Caldas to win @ 1.73 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultOnce Caldas to win ✓64% · @1.73
Double chanceOnce Caldas or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.63
Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Águilas Doradas travel to face Once Caldas on Saturday 7 November in the Primera A, with Estadio Palogrande the venue – the ball rolls at 22:05 WAT. In the table, Once Caldas are 8th, upper half, on 27 points after 18 matches; Águilas Doradas are 10th (upper half) with 25. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Once Caldas, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Santa Fe, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Águilas Doradas, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Fortaleza FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Once Caldas, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.8 for Águilas Doradas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Once Caldas 1.9 xG, Águilas Doradas 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Once Caldas 64%, draw 23%, Águilas Doradas 13%.
Lower-risk option: Once Caldas or draw (87%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Once Caldas to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Once Caldas 1–0 Águilas Doradas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Once Caldas64%fair 1.56 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.60
Águilas Doradas13%fair 7.80 · @4.35
2.57Expected goals
1.86Once Caldas xG
0.71Águilas Doradas xG
55%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Once Caldas 1.9 – 0.7 Águilas Doradas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Once Caldas to win✓
64%
1.56
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Once Caldas or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.80
Draw no bet
Once Caldas (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Once Caldas -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.08
First team to score
Once Caldas to score first✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Once Caldas ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Once Caldas / FT Once Caldas✗
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.63
–
Recent results
Once Caldas – last 6
WWDDWW
2 Nov
@ Santa Fe
2–0
W
29 Oct
vs Alianza Valledupar
1–0
W
25 Oct
vs Deportivo Pereira
1–1
D
21 Oct
@ Millonarios
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Independiente Medellin
2–0
W
10 Oct
vs Llaneros
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Águilas Doradas – last 6
WWLWDD
2 Nov
vs Fortaleza FC
1–0
W
28 Oct
@ Cucuta
2–0
W
24 Oct
@ Junior
0–1
L
18 Oct
vs Deportes Tolima
2–1
W
14 Oct
@ Bucaramanga
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Alianza Valledupar
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Once Caldas and Águilas Doradas.
What is the prediction for Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas?
On our numbers Once Caldas have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Águilas Doradas 13%.
How many goals will there be in Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas?
Our predicted score is Once Caldas 1–0 Águilas Doradas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas?
Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas (Primera A) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 22:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Palogrande.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
