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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atletico Pilar v SAT Moreno: numbers & prediction

1–2
FT
Atletico Pilar 19%Draw 26%SAT Moreno 55% Expected goals 0.67 – 1.32
55%
Betarazi pick

SAT Moreno to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.80 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultSAT Moreno to win ✓55% · @1.62
Double chanceSAT Moreno or draw ✓81% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.54

Atletico Pilar vs SAT Moreno: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Atletico Pilar welcome SAT Moreno for a Torneo Promocional Amateur fixture on Sunday 28 June (14:00 WAT). In the table, Atletico Pilar are 15th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 14 matches; SAT Moreno are 1st (leading the league) with 33. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Atletico Pilar, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Provincial, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

SAT Moreno, last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Juventud de Bernal, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours SAT Moreno, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Atletico Pilar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Pilar 0.7 xG, SAT Moreno 1.3 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Pilar 19%, draw 26%, SAT Moreno 55%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was SAT Moreno to win (55%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Pilar 0–1 SAT Moreno. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atletico Pilar19%fair 5.36 · @5.00
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.10
SAT Moreno55%fair 1.80 · @1.62
1.99Expected goals
0.67Atletico Pilar xG
1.32SAT Moreno xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–118%
0–014%
1–112%
0–212%
1–09%
1–28%

From our goals model: Atletico Pilar 0.7 – 1.3 SAT Moreno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSAT Moreno to win ✓55%1.801.62
Double chanceSAT Moreno or draw ✓81%1.231.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.941.57
Draw no betSAT Moreno (draw no bet) ✓75%1.34–
Asian handicapAtletico Pilar +1 (Asian handicap)66%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓59%1.69–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
First team to scoreSAT Moreno to score first ✓57%1.75–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT SAT Moreno / FT SAT Moreno ✓31%3.25–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18%5.54–

Recent results

Atletico Pilar – last 3

LWL
20 Jun@ Provincial0–1L
13 Junvs Juventud de Bernal3–0W
5 Jun@ Estrella de Berisso0–1L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

SAT Moreno – last 3

WWD
20 Junvs Juventud de Bernal1–0W
13 Jun@ Nautico Hacoaj1–0W
30 May@ Provincial0–0D
0.7Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Atletico Pilar and SAT Moreno.

Atletico Pilar vs SAT Moreno head-to-head page →

Torneo Promocional Amateur table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1SAT Moreno141103+1533
2Defensores Glew141022+2932
3Deportivo Metalurgico141022+2232
4Barrancas UMET16943+831
5Uribelarrea16853+829
6Ezeiza16754+126
7Buenos Aires City16745+525
8Nautico Hacoaj14734+1324
9Belgrano Zarate16574+122
10Alumni Los Hornos16538-318
11Control Orientado16538-518
12Estrella de Berisso14437-615
13Everton La Plata16358-714
14Las Mandarinas164210-814
15Atletico Pilar14239-139
16Juventud de Bernal142210-318
17Provincial142111-297

More Torneo Promocional Amateur predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atletico Pilar vs SAT Moreno?

Our pick is SAT Moreno to win with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Atletico Pilar vs SAT Moreno?

On our numbers Atletico Pilar have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 26% and SAT Moreno 55%.

How many goals will there be in Atletico Pilar vs SAT Moreno?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atletico Pilar vs SAT Moreno?

Our predicted score is Atletico Pilar 0–1 SAT Moreno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Atletico Pilar vs SAT Moreno?

Atletico Pilar vs SAT Moreno (Torneo Promocional Amateur) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.